Toho Gas Co (NGO:9533) Beneish M-Score: -2.72 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


NGO:9533 Toho Gas Co Ltd NGO:9533
74 GF Score
Price 円1,296.00
GF Value 円1,206.87
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toho Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

Toho Gas Co NGO:9533 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates NGO:9533 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,206.87. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 486 Utilities - Regulated companies, Toho Gas Co ranks better than 67.7% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGO:9533' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toho Gas Co was -2.16. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.60.


Toho Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toho Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toho Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -2.32 -2.54 -2.84 -2.72

Toho Gas Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.72

NGO:9533 vs ATO, NI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toho Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NGO:9533
74GF Score
Toho Gas Co Ltd NGO:9533
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toho Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toho Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9109+0.528 * 0.9568+0.404 * 1.143+0.892 * 0.9925+0.115 * 0.984
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.042199-0.327 * 0.9755
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円76,491 Mil.
Revenue was 円651,085 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円179,295 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円180,859 Mil.
Total Assets was 円809,454 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円296,650 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円38,371 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円110,100 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円151,640 Mil.
Net Income was 円31,449 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円65,607 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円84,610 Mil.
Revenue was 円656,010 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円172,844 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円187,724 Mil.
Total Assets was 円758,762 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円298,815 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円37,955 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円120,291 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円131,222 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(76491 / 651085) / (84610 / 656010)
=0.117482 / 0.128977
=0.9109

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(172844 / 656010) / (179295 / 651085)
=0.263478 / 0.275379
=0.9568

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (180859 + 296650) / 809454) / (1 - (187724 + 298815) / 758762)
=0.410085 / 0.358773
=1.143

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=651085 / 656010
=0.9925

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(37955 / (37955 + 298815)) / (38371 / (38371 + 296650))
=0.112703 / 0.114533
=0.984

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 651085) / (0 / 656010)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((151640 + 110100) / 809454) / ((131222 + 120291) / 758762)
=0.323354 / 0.331478
=0.9755

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(31449 - 0 - 65607) / 809454
=-0.042199

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toho Gas Co has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 mean?
Toho Gas Co (NGO:9533) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toho Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toho Gas Co ranks #157 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 32.3%.
Is Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toho Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Based on the distribution chart, Toho Gas Co ranks #157 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Toho Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toho Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Toho Gas Co ranks #157 out of 486 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Toho Gas Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toho Gas Co and its competitors. Toho Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toho Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Toho Gas Co (NGO:9533) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.72. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,206.87, compared to a current price of 円1,296.00 — trading 7.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Toho Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toho Gas Co (NGO:9533), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toho Gas Co (NGO:9533) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Gas Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,296.00 is trading 7.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,206.87.

Key valuation signals for NGO:9533:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.72
  • GF Value™: 円1,206.87 vs. price of 円1,296.00 (7.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:9533 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toho Gas Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 9533:Japan59W:Germany
Address 19-18 Sakuradacho, Atsuta-ku, Aichi Prefecture, Nagoya, JPN, 456-8511
Toho Gas Co Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in the supply of energy and related services, including electricity, gas, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The company operates in three business segments. The Electricity segment engages in the sale of electricity. The Gas segment handles the manufacture and sale of gas, gas appliances, consignment supply, and plumbing work. The LPG and Other Energies segment covers the sale of LPG, related equipment, natural gas, heat supply, and coke. The Others segment includes contract processing, real estate management, and other ancillary businesses. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Gas segment.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:9533

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,296.00
Price
円1,206.87
GF Value