NHPEF (New Hope) Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


NHPEF New Hope Corp Ltd NHPEF
68 GF Score
Price $3.93
GF Value $3.08
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is New Hope Beneish M-Score?

New Hope NHPEF +1.29% 68 Beneish M-Score is -3.16 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates NHPEF with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.08 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 119 Other Energy Sources companies, New Hope ranks better than 79.83% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for New Hope's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NHPEF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.6   Med: -2.87   Max: 0.13
Current: -3.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of New Hope was 0.13. The lowest was -3.60. And the median was -2.87.


New Hope Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for New Hope's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

New Hope Beneish M-Score Chart

New Hope Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.91 0.13 -3.23 -2.82 -3.16

New Hope Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.82 0.00 -3.16 0.00

New Hope Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, New Hope's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New Hope Beneish M-Score vs Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, New Hope's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Hope's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NHPEF
68GF Score
New Hope Corp Ltd NHPEF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

New Hope Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of New Hope for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6899+0.528 * 0.8599+0.404 * 1.0554+0.892 * 0.9716+0.115 * 0.5523
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5982+4.679 * -0.053405-0.327 * 0.7987
=-3.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul25) TTM:Last Year (Jul24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $65 Mil.
Revenue was $1,144 Mil.
Gross Profit was $647 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $669 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,313 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,375 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $248 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $184 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $322 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $55 Mil.
Net Income was $287 Mil.
Gross Profit was $38 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $373 Mil.
Total Receivables was $97 Mil.
Revenue was $1,178 Mil.
Gross Profit was $573 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $843 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,314 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,216 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $112 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $119 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $410 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $62 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(64.918 / 1144.251) / (96.846 / 1177.675)
=0.056734 / 0.082235
=0.6899

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(572.96 / 1177.675) / (647.417 / 1144.251)
=0.486518 / 0.5658
=0.8599

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (668.506 + 1374.932) / 2312.917) / (1 - (842.519 + 1215.953) / 2313.923)
=0.11651 / 0.110397
=1.0554

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1144.251 / 1177.675
=0.9716

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(112.123 / (112.123 + 1215.953)) / (248.091 / (248.091 + 1374.932))
=0.084425 / 0.152857
=0.5523

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(184.184 / 1144.251) / (118.609 / 1177.675)
=0.160965 / 0.100715
=1.5982

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((55.35 + 321.708) / 2312.917) / ((62.237 + 410.063) / 2313.923)
=0.163023 / 0.204112
=0.7987

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(287.169 - 37.615 - 373.075) / 2312.917
=-0.053405

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

New Hope has a M-score of -3.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.16 mean?
New Hope (NHPEF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.16 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on New Hope and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, New Hope ranks #24 out of 119 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, placing it in the top 20.2%.
Is New Hope's Beneish M-Score too high?
New Hope's current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. Based on the distribution chart, New Hope ranks #24 out of 119 companies in the Other Energy Sources industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, New Hope has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does New Hope's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Other Energy Sources industry distribution chart, New Hope ranks #24 out of 119 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places New Hope in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on New Hope and its competitors. New Hope's current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is New Hope stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, New Hope (NHPEF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.08, compared to a current price of $3.93 — trading 27.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. New Hope's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For New Hope (NHPEF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.16 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is New Hope (NHPEF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, New Hope stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $3.93 is trading 27.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.08. GuruFocus considers New Hope to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NHPEF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.16
  • GF Value™: $3.08 vs. price of $3.93 (27.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NHPEF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


New Hope Business Description

Other Exchanges OD8:GermanyNHC:Australia
Address 175 Eagle Street, Level 18, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
New Hope Corporation is an Australian thermal coal miner. It has two operating mines: the 100%-owned New Acland coal mine in Queensland and its 80%-owned Bengalla coal mine in New South Wales. The company should sell around 13 million metric tons of thermal coal annually from fiscal 2028, up from around 10.5 million in fiscal 2025, driven by the construction and ramp up of New Acland Stage 3. The vast majority of New Hope's production is sold into seaborne thermal coal export markets. Reserves at New Acland and Bengalla are sufficient to support multidecade mine lives. New Hope also has significant undeveloped coal resources in Queensland, as well as a 23% holding in the Malabar-Maxwell metallurgical coal mine, which began production in 2023.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NHPEF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.93
Price
$3.08
GF Value