NPCPF (Nippon Paint Holdings Co) Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


NPCPF Nippon Paint Holdings Co Ltd NPCPF
79 GF Score
Price $7.05
GF Value $8.04
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Nippon Paint Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Nippon Paint Holdings Co NPCPF 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates NPCPF with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $8.04 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,530 Chemicals companies, Nippon Paint Holdings Co ranks worse than 52.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NPCPF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.39   Max: -1.9
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nippon Paint Holdings Co was -1.90. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.39.


Nippon Paint Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nippon Paint Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Nippon Paint Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.39 -2.60 -2.31 -2.46

Nippon Paint Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -2.47 -2.36 -2.46 -2.48

NPCPF vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Paint Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NPCPF
79GF Score
Nippon Paint Holdings Co Ltd NPCPF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nippon Paint Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nippon Paint Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0376+0.528 * 1.0556+0.404 * 0.9549+0.892 * 0.958+0.115 * 0.9478
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0214+4.679 * -0.022214-0.327 * 0.8969
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,009 Mil.
Revenue was 3089.675 + 2054.594 + 3151.23 + 3091.73 = $11,387 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1355.113 + 659.148 + 1319.459 + 1283.759 = $4,617 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,493 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,095 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,598 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $499 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,313 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,484 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,639 Mil.
Net Income was 324.698 + -54.177 + 317.064 + 349.216 = $937 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 97.389 + 732.226 + 369.849 + 317.005 = $1,516 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,027 Mil.
Revenue was 2721.928 + 3585.388 + 2837.304 + 2741.816 = $11,886 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1167.951 + 1677.302 + 1140.808 + 1101.862 = $5,088 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,453 Mil.
Total Assets was $24,544 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,299 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $431 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,386 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,061 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,652 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3009.351 / 11387.229) / (3027.44 / 11886.436)
=0.264274 / 0.254697
=1.0376

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5087.923 / 11886.436) / (4617.479 / 11387.229)
=0.428044 / 0.405496
=1.0556

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8493.478 + 3598.262) / 26094.615) / (1 - (7452.642 + 3298.839) / 24543.874)
=0.536619 / 0.561948
=0.9549

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11387.229 / 11886.436
=0.958

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(430.738 / (430.738 + 3298.839)) / (499.325 / (499.325 + 3598.262))
=0.115492 / 0.121858
=0.9478

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3313.322 / 11387.229) / (3386.225 / 11886.436)
=0.290968 / 0.284881
=1.0214

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7638.722 + 4483.948) / 26094.615) / ((4652.403 + 8060.864) / 24543.874)
=0.464566 / 0.517981
=0.8969

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(936.801 - 0 - 1516.469) / 26094.615
=-0.022214

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nippon Paint Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 mean?
Nippon Paint Holdings Co (NPCPF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Paint Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nippon Paint Holdings Co ranks #802 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 52.4%.
Is Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nippon Paint Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Based on the distribution chart, Nippon Paint Holdings Co ranks #802 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nippon Paint Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nippon Paint Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Nippon Paint Holdings Co ranks #802 out of 1530 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Nippon Paint Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Paint Holdings Co and its competitors. Nippon Paint Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nippon Paint Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Paint Holdings Co (NPCPF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $8.04, compared to a current price of $7.05 — trading 12.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Nippon Paint Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nippon Paint Holdings Co (NPCPF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nippon Paint Holdings Co (NPCPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Paint Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $7.05 is trading 12.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $8.04. GuruFocus considers Nippon Paint Holdings Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NPCPF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.48
  • GF Value™: $8.04 vs. price of $7.05 (12.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NPCPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nippon Paint Holdings Co Business Description

Address 2-1-2 Oyodo Kita, Kita-ku, Osaka, JPN, 531-8511
Nippon Paint is a global paint company with operations in over 50 countries. About two-thirds of sales are in decorative paint, serving mostly residential and some commercial customers. It has the dominant share of the paint markets in China and some smaller Asian countries, as well as Australia. In other regions, it's often one of the three largest players. Its products are distributed via paint and home improvement retailers, some 300,000 distributors globally. Household brands include Nipsea, Nippon Paint, Dulux (in Asia, the Pacific, and Europe), British Paints, Betek Boya, and Alina, among others. About one-fourth of sales are in industrial coatings and paints. Here, customer groups include manufacturers of automotive and industrial products.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NPCPF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.05
Price
$8.04
GF Value