Dangote Cement (NSA:DCP) Beneish M-Score: -3.31 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


NSA:DCP Dangote Cement PLC NSA:DCP
100 GF Score
Price ₦1,070.00
GF Value ₦806.03
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Dangote Cement Beneish M-Score?

Dangote Cement NSA:DCP 100 Beneish M-Score is -3.31 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSA:DCP with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of ₦806.03 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Building Materials companies, Dangote Cement ranks better than 92.05% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.31 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:DCP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.58   Max: 4.09
Current: -3.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dangote Cement was 4.09. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.58.


Dangote Cement Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dangote Cement Beneish M-Score Chart

Dangote Cement Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 -1.94 -2.29 0.48 -3.32

Dangote Cement Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.94 4.09 -2.86 -3.32 -3.31

NSA:DCP vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dangote Cement Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSA:DCP
100GF Score
Dangote Cement PLC NSA:DCP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Dangote Cement Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dangote Cement for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9718+0.528 * 0.8906+0.404 * 0.0476+0.892 * 1.2002+0.115 * 1.2811
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9194+4.679 * -0.143028-0.327 * 0.7593
=-3.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₦579,152 Mil.
Revenue was 1198032 + 1151947 + 1083159 + 1076939 = ₦4,510,077 Mil.
Gross Profit was 749300 + 803611 + 650624 + 630645 = ₦2,834,180 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦2,110,283 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦6,034,998 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦3,876,376 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦211,644 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦725,372 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦2,371,845 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦330,263 Mil.
Net Income was 320649 + 268753 + 219198 + 308993 = ₦1,117,593 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₦0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 591339 + 419637 + 416919 + 552874 = ₦1,980,769 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₦496,587 Mil.
Revenue was 994659 + 1019977 + 800518 + 942705 = ₦3,757,859 Mil.
Gross Profit was 587394 + 610642 + 397475 + 507594 = ₦2,103,105 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦1,998,332 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦6,445,354 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦3,363,348 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦238,913 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦657,364 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦2,262,657 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,538,083 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(579152 / 4510077) / (496587 / 3757859)
=0.128413 / 0.132146
=0.9718

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2103105 / 3757859) / (2834180 / 4510077)
=0.559655 / 0.628411
=0.8906

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2110283 + 3876376) / 6034998) / (1 - (1998332 + 3363348) / 6445354)
=0.00801 / 0.168133
=0.0476

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4510077 / 3757859
=1.2002

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(238913 / (238913 + 3363348)) / (211644 / (211644 + 3876376))
=0.066323 / 0.051772
=1.2811

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(725372 / 4510077) / (657364 / 3757859)
=0.160834 / 0.17493
=0.9194

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((330263 + 2371845) / 6034998) / ((1538083 + 2262657) / 6445354)
=0.44774 / 0.589687
=0.7593

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1117593 - 0 - 1980769) / 6034998
=-0.143028

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dangote Cement has a M-score of -3.31 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.31 mean?
Dangote Cement (NSA:DCP) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.31 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Dangote Cement and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Dangote Cement ranks #31 out of 390 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 7.9%.
Is Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score too high?
Dangote Cement's current Beneish M-Score is -3.31. Based on the distribution chart, Dangote Cement ranks #31 out of 390 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Dangote Cement has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dangote Cement's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, Dangote Cement ranks #31 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Dangote Cement in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Dangote Cement and its competitors. Dangote Cement's current Beneish M-Score is -3.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dangote Cement stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dangote Cement (NSA:DCP) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₦806.03, compared to a current price of ₦1,070.00 — trading 32.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.31. Dangote Cement's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dangote Cement (NSA:DCP), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.31 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dangote Cement (NSA:DCP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dangote Cement stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₦1,070.00 is trading 32.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₦806.03. GuruFocus considers Dangote Cement to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NSA:DCP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.31
  • GF Value™: ₦806.03 vs. price of ₦1,070.00 (32.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSA:DCP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dangote Cement Business Description

Address 1, Alfred Rewane Road, P.O. Box 40032, Falomo, Ikoyi, Union Marble House, Lagos, NGA
Dangote Cement PLC is a cement manufacturer. It manufactures and markets cement and related products through its 'Dangote' brand. The principal activity of the Company and its subsidiaries is to operate plants for the preparation, manufacture and distribution of cement and related products. The Company's production activities are undertaken at Obajana town in Kogi State, Gboko in Benue State and Ibese in Ogun State; all in Nigeria. Its geographical segment includes Nigeria and Pan Africa. The company derives a majority of revenue from Nigeria segment.
100GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSA:DCP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₦1,070.00
Price
₦806.03
GF Value