Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL) Beneish M-Score: -1.28 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


NSE:RVNL Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd NSE:RVNL
74 GF Score
Price ₹237.51
GF Value ₹347.84
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Rail Vikas Nigam Beneish M-Score?

Rail Vikas Nigam NSE:RVNL -1.39% 74 Beneish M-Score is -1.28 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:RVNL with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹347.84 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,699 Construction companies, Rail Vikas Nigam ranks worse than 88.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.28 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:RVNL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -1.57   Max: 1.25
Current: -1.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Rail Vikas Nigam was 1.25. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -1.57.


Rail Vikas Nigam Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Rail Vikas Nigam Beneish M-Score Chart

Rail Vikas Nigam Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.48 -0.83 -2.86 -2.44 -1.28

Rail Vikas Nigam Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.28

NSE:RVNL vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rail Vikas Nigam Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSE:RVNL
74GF Score
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd NSE:RVNL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Rail Vikas Nigam Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Rail Vikas Nigam for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3783+0.528 * 1.2456+0.404 * 0.8618+0.892 * 1.0245+0.115 * 0.9459
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * 0.127574-0.327 * 1.0238
=-1.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹53,729 Mil.
Revenue was ₹204,121 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹12,249 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹135,753 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹217,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹8,861 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹502 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹71,258 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹43,224 Mil.
Net Income was ₹8,747 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹-18,939 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹38,048 Mil.
Revenue was ₹199,233 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹14,892 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹116,673 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹204,817 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹8,847 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹472 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹418 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹56,522 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹49,015 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(53729 / 204121.2) / (38048.4 / 199232.5)
=0.263221 / 0.190975
=1.3783

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14892.4 / 199232.5) / (12249.4 / 204121.2)
=0.074749 / 0.06001
=1.2456

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (135753.3 + 8860.7) / 217019.9) / (1 - (116673.2 + 8847.1) / 204817)
=0.333637 / 0.387159
=0.8618

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=204121.2 / 199232.5
=1.0245

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(472.3 / (472.3 + 8847.1)) / (501.6 / (501.6 + 8860.7))
=0.050679 / 0.053577
=0.9459

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 204121.2) / (417.9 / 199232.5)
=0 / 0.002098
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((43223.7 + 71257.6) / 217019.9) / ((49015.3 + 56522.1) / 204817)
=0.527515 / 0.515277
=1.0238

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8746.9 - 0 - -18939.3) / 217019.9
=0.127574

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Rail Vikas Nigam has a M-score of -1.28 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.28 mean?
Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.28 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Rail Vikas Nigam and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Rail Vikas Nigam ranks #1505 out of 1699 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 88.6%.
Is Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score too high?
Rail Vikas Nigam's current Beneish M-Score is -1.28. Based on the distribution chart, Rail Vikas Nigam ranks #1505 out of 1699 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Rail Vikas Nigam has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Rail Vikas Nigam's Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Rail Vikas Nigam ranks #1505 out of 1699 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Rail Vikas Nigam in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Rail Vikas Nigam and its competitors. Rail Vikas Nigam's current Beneish M-Score is -1.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Rail Vikas Nigam stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹347.84, compared to a current price of ₹237.51 — trading 31.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.28. Rail Vikas Nigam's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.28 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rail Vikas Nigam stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹237.51 is trading 31.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹347.84. GuruFocus considers Rail Vikas Nigam to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for NSE:RVNL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.28
  • GF Value™: ₹347.84 vs. price of ₹237.51 (31.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:RVNL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Rail Vikas Nigam Business Description

Other Exchanges 542649:India
Address August Kranti Bhawan, Block B, Plot No. 25, 1st Floor, Bhikaji Cama Place, R.K. Puram, New Delhi, IND, 110066
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd is an Indian-based company, engaged in the business of implementing various types of Rail infrastructure projects. It executes projects such as new lines, doubling, gauge conversion, railway electrification, metro projects, workshops, bridges, construction of cable-stayed bridges, institution buildings, and others. The company has only one reportable segment namely, Development of Railway Infrastructure.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:RVNL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹237.51
Price
₹347.84
GF Value