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Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Beneish M-Score : -2.80 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Mercury NZ Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:MCY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.94
Current: -2.8

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mercury NZ was -1.94. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.59.


Mercury NZ Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mercury NZ Beneish M-Score Chart

Mercury NZ Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.79 -2.41 -1.94 -2.80

Mercury NZ Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.94 - -2.80 -

Competitive Comparison of Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mercury NZ's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Mercury NZ Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mercury NZ for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6843+0.528 * 0.8675+0.404 * 0.8447+0.892 * 1.2865+0.115 * 0.856
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2238+4.679 * -0.024525-0.327 * 0.9535
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was NZ$412 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$2,730 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$1,176 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$839 Mil.
Total Assets was NZ$9,419 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NZ$8,099 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NZ$344 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NZ$148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$952 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NZ$1,523 Mil.
Net Income was NZ$103 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$-244 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NZ$578 Mil.
Total Receivables was NZ$468 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$2,122 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$793 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$996 Mil.
Total Assets was NZ$9,660 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NZ$8,080 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NZ$292 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NZ$94 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$1,267 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NZ$1,395 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(412 / 2730) / (468 / 2122)
=0.150916 / 0.220547
=0.6843

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(793 / 2122) / (1176 / 2730)
=0.373704 / 0.430769
=0.8675

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (839 + 8099) / 9419) / (1 - (996 + 8080) / 9660)
=0.051067 / 0.060455
=0.8447

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2730 / 2122
=1.2865

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(292 / (292 + 8080)) / (344 / (344 + 8099))
=0.034878 / 0.040744
=0.856

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(148 / 2730) / (94 / 2122)
=0.054212 / 0.044298
=1.2238

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1523 + 952) / 9419) / ((1395 + 1267) / 9660)
=0.262767 / 0.275569
=0.9535

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(103 - -244 - 578) / 9419
=-0.024525

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mercury NZ has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Mercury NZ Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
33 Broadway, The Mercury Building, P O Box 90399, Newmarket, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1142
Mercury NZ (formerly Mighty River Power) generates more than 15% of New Zealand's electricity and is one of the four major electricity generators and suppliers in the country. All electricity is generated from renewable sources, which makes it one of the lowest-cost providers of electricity. The company operates nine hydro stations and five geothermal power plants in the North Island and some wind farms. Mercury sells electricity to residential and commercial customers and has the largest share of the key Auckland market.