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Arion banki hf (OSTO:ARION SDB) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of Jun. 27, 2025)


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What is Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arion banki hf's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:ARION SDB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.35   Max: 3.89
Current: -2.39

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arion banki hf was 3.89. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.35.


Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arion banki hf for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0004+0.892 * 1.1257+0.115 * 1.0202
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0704+4.679 * -0.001066-0.327 * 1.0225
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 1514.385 + 1424.76 + 1386.395 + 1340.628 = kr5,666 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1514.385 + 1424.76 + 1386.395 + 1340.628 = kr5,666 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr134,250 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr339 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr137 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr457 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr42,278 Mil.
Net Income was 511.083 + 659.847 + 626.576 + 438.173 = kr2,236 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1983.839 + 2020.055 + -3844.385 + 2219.283 = kr2,379 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 1150.156 + 1291.995 + 1192.421 + 1398.812 = kr5,033 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1150.156 + 1291.995 + 1192.421 + 1398.812 = kr5,033 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr122,930 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr357 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr148 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr379 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr37,862 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 5666.168) / (0 / 5033.384)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5033.384 / 5033.384) / (5666.168 / 5666.168)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 338.52) / 134250.21) / (1 - (0 + 356.906) / 122929.894)
=0.997478 / 0.997097
=1.0004

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5666.168 / 5033.384
=1.1257

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148.286 / (148.286 + 356.906)) / (136.745 / (136.745 + 338.52))
=0.293524 / 0.287724
=1.0202

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(456.798 / 5666.168) / (379.113 / 5033.384)
=0.080619 / 0.07532
=1.0704

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((42277.567 + 0) / 134250.21) / ((37862.482 + 0) / 122929.894)
=0.314916 / 0.308001
=1.0225

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2235.679 - 0 - 2378.792) / 134250.21
=-0.001066

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arion banki hf has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arion banki hf Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Borgartun 19, Reykjavik, ISL, 105
Arion banki hf is a universal relationship bank operating in the Icelandic financial market. Its operating segments are Markets & Stefnir, Corporate & Investment Banking, Retail Banking, Treasury, Other subsidiaries, and Supporting units. The Corporate & Investment Banking segment of the company generates the majority of the revenue and is engaged in providing comprehensive financial services to companies and investors both in Iceland and internationally.