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Nordic Paper Holding AB (OSTO:NPAPER) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Nordic Paper Holding AB Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:NPAPER' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.05   Max: -1.58
Current: -2.65

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nordic Paper Holding AB was -1.58. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.05.


Nordic Paper Holding AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nordic Paper Holding AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Nordic Paper Holding AB Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -2.04 -2.06 -3.03

Nordic Paper Holding AB Quarterly Data
Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 -2.45 -2.54 -3.03 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nordic Paper Holding AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nordic Paper Holding AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nordic Paper Holding AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0124+0.528 * 1.0236+0.404 * 0.9809+0.892 * 0.9329+0.115 * 1.1976
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.069939-0.327 * 0.9842
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr884 Mil.
Revenue was 1209 + 971 + 1077 + 1120 = kr4,377 Mil.
Gross Profit was 594 + 503 + 573 + 591 = kr2,261 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr1,803 Mil.
Total Assets was kr3,789 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr956 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr151 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr1,155 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr962 Mil.
Net Income was 149 + 64 + 34 + 145 = kr392 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -87 + 198 + 301 + 245 = kr657 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr936 Mil.
Revenue was 1305 + 1206 + 1037 + 1144 = kr4,692 Mil.
Gross Profit was 683 + 649 + 510 + 639 = kr2,481 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr1,879 Mil.
Total Assets was kr3,648 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr758 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr148 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr753 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr1,103 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr968 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(884 / 4377) / (936 / 4692)
=0.201965 / 0.199488
=1.0124

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2481 / 4692) / (2261 / 4377)
=0.528772 / 0.516564
=1.0236

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1803 + 956) / 3789) / (1 - (1879 + 758) / 3648)
=0.27184 / 0.277138
=0.9809

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4377 / 4692
=0.9329

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148 / (148 + 758)) / (151 / (151 + 956))
=0.163355 / 0.136405
=1.1976

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 4377) / (753 / 4692)
=0 / 0.160486
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((962 + 1155) / 3789) / ((968 + 1103) / 3648)
=0.558723 / 0.567708
=0.9842

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(392 - 0 - 657) / 3789
=-0.069939

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nordic Paper Holding AB has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nordic Paper Holding AB Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nordic Paper Holding AB (OSTO:NPAPER) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Tullhusgatan 1B, Karlstad, SWE, 652 09
Nordic Paper Holding AB is a paper company operating in two segments; Kraft paper is used in many end-use applications, such as in products aimed at consumers, including carrier bags and food packaging, in packaging for building materials, and in multiple other industrial applications, and Greaseproof paper is a group of paper types that are characterized by a resistance to oil or grease and is mainly used in the food sector but also have a number of industrial applications. The company offers effective and environmentally responsible products and solutions within the Kraft Paper and Natural Greaseproof segments.

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