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Argonaut Gold Beneish M-Score

: -2.90 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Argonaut Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ARNGF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.98   Med: -2.46   Max: 223132.65
Current: -2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Argonaut Gold was 223132.65. The lowest was -5.98. And the median was -2.46.


Argonaut Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Argonaut Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Argonaut Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -0.64 -2.63 -3.09 -2.94

Argonaut Gold Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.66 -2.63 -2.94 -2.90

Competitive Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Argonaut Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Argonaut Gold Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Argonaut Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Argonaut Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Argonaut Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Argonaut Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7411+0.528 * 1.2341+0.404 * 0.4537+0.892 * 1.2205+0.115 * 1.1547
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9428+4.679 * -0.025-0.327 * 1.6033
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar22) TTM:Last Year (Mar21) TTM:
Total Receivables was $25.5 Mil.
Revenue was 105.802 + 102.87 + 108.58 + 120.194 = $437.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 21.663 + 17.818 + 29.148 + 39.836 = $108.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $308.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,332.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $994.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $71.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $18.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $168.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $168.2 Mil.
Net Income was 5.618 + -37.252 + 14.996 + 21.778 = $5.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4.363 + -61.04 + -1.65 + -2.882 = $-69.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4.035 + 31.862 + 30.393 + 42.135 = $108.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was $28.2 Mil.
Revenue was 105.267 + 100.804 + 94.382 + 57.956 = $358.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27.558 + 32.806 + 31.638 + 17.669 = $109.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $384.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,119.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $681.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $57.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $16.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $105.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $70.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(25.504 / 437.446) / (28.195 / 358.409)
=0.05830205 / 0.07866711
=0.7411

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(109.671 / 358.409) / (108.465 / 437.446)
=0.30599399 / 0.2479506
=1.2341

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (308.923 + 994.919) / 1332.317) / (1 - (384.758 + 681.575) / 1119.045)
=0.02137254 / 0.04710445
=0.4537

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=437.446 / 358.409
=1.2205

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(57.427 / (57.427 + 681.575)) / (71.786 / (71.786 + 994.919))
=0.07770886 / 0.06729696
=1.1547

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18.385 / 437.446) / (15.977 / 358.409)
=0.04202804 / 0.04457756
=0.9428

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((168.21 + 168.323) / 1332.317) / ((70.885 + 105.413) / 1119.045)
=0.25259229 / 0.15754326
=1.6033

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5.14 - -69.935 - 108.425) / 1332.317
=-0.025

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Argonaut Gold has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Argonaut Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Argonaut Gold Business Description

Argonaut Gold logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9600 Prototype Court, Reno, NV, USA, 89521
Argonaut Gold Inc is a Canadian gold company engaged in exploration, mine development and production. Its primary assets are the El Castillo mine and San Agustin mine, which together form the El Castillo Complex in Durango, Mexico, the La Colorada mine in Sonora, Mexico and the Florida Canyon mine in Nevada, USA. The company also holds the construction stage Magino project, the advanced exploration stage Cerro del Gallo project and several other exploration stage projects, all of which are located in North America.

Argonaut Gold Headlines

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