PPAAY (Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT) Beneish M-Score: -2.43 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


PPAAY Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT PPAAY
87 GF Score
Price $4.10
GF Value $5.15
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Beneish M-Score?

Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT PPAAY 87 Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates PPAAY with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of $5.15 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 485 Utilities - Regulated companies, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT ranks worse than 67.84% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PPAAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.64   Med: -2.8   Max: -0.92
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT was -0.92. The lowest was -5.64. And the median was -2.80.


Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Beneish M-Score Chart

Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.61 -2.88 -2.85 -2.58

Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.81 -2.68 -2.58 -2.43

PPAAY vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score falls into.


PPAAY
87GF Score
Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT PPAAY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1112+0.528 * 0.9924+0.404 * 1.0127+0.892 * 1.035+0.115 * 1.2451
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8656+4.679 * -0.041234-0.327 * 0.9032
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $452 Mil.
Revenue was 929.562 + 1053.017 + 985.109 + 971.229 = $3,939 Mil.
Gross Profit was 157.968 + 196.148 + 182.558 + 179.003 = $716 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,088 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,202 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,341 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,041 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $868 Mil.
Net Income was 90.448 + -22.528 + 93.469 + 82.408 = $244 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 86.886 + 217.743 + 104.719 + 90.199 = $500 Mil.
Total Receivables was $393 Mil.
Revenue was 966.563 + 972.059 + 977.562 + 889.665 = $3,806 Mil.
Gross Profit was 140.614 + 170.133 + 180.018 + 195.454 = $686 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,136 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,545 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,603 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $12 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $49 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,155 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,075 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(452.262 / 3938.917) / (393.259 / 3805.849)
=0.114819 / 0.10333
=1.1112

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(686.219 / 3805.849) / (715.677 / 3938.917)
=0.180306 / 0.181694
=0.9924

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2087.825 + 3340.824) / 6202.334) / (1 - (2135.717 + 3602.962) / 6544.865)
=0.124741 / 0.123178
=1.0127

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3938.917 / 3805.849
=1.035

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(11.678 / (11.678 + 3602.962)) / (8.691 / (8.691 + 3340.824))
=0.003231 / 0.002595
=1.2451

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(43.858 / 3938.917) / (48.96 / 3805.849)
=0.011135 / 0.012864
=0.8656

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((867.925 + 1040.591) / 6202.334) / ((1074.923 + 1154.845) / 6544.865)
=0.307709 / 0.34069
=0.9032

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(243.797 - 0 - 499.547) / 6202.334
=-0.041234

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 mean?
Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT (PPAAY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT ranks #329 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 67.8%.
Is Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score too high?
Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Based on the distribution chart, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT ranks #329 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT ranks #329 out of 485 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT and its competitors. Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT (PPAAY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.15, compared to a current price of $4.10 — trading 20.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT (PPAAY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT (PPAAY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $4.10 is trading 20.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $5.15. GuruFocus considers Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PPAAY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.43
  • GF Value™: $5.15 vs. price of $4.10 (20.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PPAAY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT Business Description

Address Jalan KH. Zainul Arifin Number 20, Jakarta, IDN, 11140
Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PT is an Indonesian natural gas company of which the Republic of Indonesia holds a majority stake. PGN is involved in the transmission and distribution of natural gas. The company's segments include Natural gas trading and transmission, Exploration and production of oil and gas, and Other operation.
87GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.10
Price
$5.15
GF Value