Green River Holding Co (ROCO:8444) Beneish M-Score: -4.79 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


ROCO:8444 Green River Holding Co Ltd ROCO:8444
30 GF Score
Price NT$6.59
GF Value NT$18.83
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Green River Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

Green River Holding Co ROCO:8444 -1.05% 30 Beneish M-Score is -4.79 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates ROCO:8444 with a GF Score™ of 30/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$18.83 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Green River Holding Co ranks better than 98.17% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ROCO:8444' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.79   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.76
Current: -4.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Green River Holding Co was -1.76. The lowest was -4.79. And the median was -2.33.


Green River Holding Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Green River Holding Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Green River Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.33 -2.00 -3.29 -4.79

Green River Holding Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.29 -2.82 -10.04 -5.00 -4.79

ROCO:8444 vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Green River Holding Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ROCO:8444
30GF Score
Green River Holding Co Ltd ROCO:8444
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Green River Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Green River Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6502+0.528 * -1.0021+0.404 * 0.8071+0.892 * 0.6675+0.115 * 0.9476
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0118+4.679 * -0.110754-0.327 * 1.0826
=-4.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$116 Mil.
Revenue was 576.323 + 714.935 + 876.693 + 1091.473 = NT$3,259 Mil.
Gross Profit was -131.103 + -112.062 + -79.218 + -32.617 = NT$-355 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$547 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$7,477 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$6,678 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$533 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$513 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$6,980 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$126 Mil.
Net Income was -464.224 + -466.728 + 215.63 + -389.527 = NT$-1,105 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -57.323 + -3.251 + -131.445 + -84.737 = NT$-277 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$268 Mil.
Revenue was 965.163 + 1277.742 + 1360.579 + 1279.645 = NT$4,883 Mil.
Gross Profit was -68.312 + 128.659 + 285.282 + 187.328 = NT$533 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$1,007 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$8,126 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$6,780 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$510 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$760 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$6,924 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$210 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(116.296 / 3259.424) / (267.96 / 4883.129)
=0.03568 / 0.054875
=0.6502

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(532.957 / 4883.129) / (-355 / 3259.424)
=0.109143 / -0.108915
=-1.0021

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (547.215 + 6677.922) / 7476.854) / (1 - (1007.456 + 6779.946) / 8126.386)
=0.033666 / 0.041714
=0.8071

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3259.424 / 4883.129
=0.6675

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(510.271 / (510.271 + 6779.946)) / (532.602 / (532.602 + 6677.922))
=0.069994 / 0.073865
=0.9476

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(513.183 / 3259.424) / (759.893 / 4883.129)
=0.157446 / 0.155616
=1.0118

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((126.232 + 6979.88) / 7476.854) / ((210.273 + 6923.954) / 8126.386)
=0.950415 / 0.877909
=1.0826

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1104.849 - 0 - -276.756) / 7476.854
=-0.110754

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Green River Holding Co has a M-score of -4.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.79 mean?
Green River Holding Co (ROCO:8444) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.79 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Green River Holding Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Green River Holding Co ranks #5 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 1.8%.
Is Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Green River Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -4.79. Based on the distribution chart, Green River Holding Co ranks #5 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Green River Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 30/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Green River Holding Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Green River Holding Co ranks #5 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Green River Holding Co in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Green River Holding Co and its competitors. Green River Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -4.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Green River Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Green River Holding Co (ROCO:8444) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$18.83, compared to a current price of NT$6.59 — trading 65% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.79. Green River Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 30/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Green River Holding Co (ROCO:8444), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.79 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Green River Holding Co (ROCO:8444) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Green River Holding Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$6.59 is trading 65% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$18.83. GuruFocus considers Green River Holding Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ROCO:8444:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.79
  • GF Value™: NT$18.83 vs. price of NT$6.59 (65% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 30/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ROCO:8444 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Green River Holding Co Business Description

Address 222 Moo 4, Thumbol Thachang, Amphur Bangklum, Songkhla, THA, 90110
Green River Holding Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, processing, and selling particle board, manufacturing and selling parawood; purchasing raw materials for the parawood business and rendering sawmill services; and manufacturing and selling resin. Its products include Solid Wood, Particle Board, and Melamine Faced Chipboard. The company operates through four segments: Particle Board, Solid Wood, Resin and Investment Company. The majority of its revenue is generated from particle boards. The company operates in Thailand, Malaysia, Korea, China, Vietnam, and Others, with maximum revenue from Malaysia.
30GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ROCO:8444

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$6.59
Price
NT$18.83
GF Value