Northern Region Cement Co (SAU:3004) Beneish M-Score: -2.45 (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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SAU:3004 Northern Region Cement Co SAU:3004
66 GF Score
Price ﷼6.56
GF Value ﷼10.29
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Northern Region Cement Co Beneish M-Score?

Northern Region Cement Co SAU:3004 +0.15% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAU:3004 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼10.29 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 387 Building Materials companies, Northern Region Cement Co ranks worse than 61.24% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:3004' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.25   Med: -2.58   Max: -0.04
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northern Region Cement Co was -0.04. The lowest was -4.25. And the median was -2.58.


Northern Region Cement Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Northern Region Cement Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Northern Region Cement Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.77 -2.70 -2.68 -2.69

Northern Region Cement Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.50 -2.40 -2.69 -2.45

SAU:3004 vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northern Region Cement Co Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SAU:3004
66GF Score
Northern Region Cement Co SAU:3004
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Northern Region Cement Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northern Region Cement Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9732+0.528 * 1.098+0.404 * 0.9556+0.892 * 1.1366+0.115 * 0.9326
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9476+4.679 * -0.016058-0.327 * 1.0732
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼146.9 Mil.
Revenue was 175.844 + 180.851 + 176.842 + 180.773 = ﷼714.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 45.19 + 56.781 + 51.564 + 54.874 = ﷼208.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼930.6 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼3,731.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼2,244.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼58.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼41.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼1,038.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼364.4 Mil.
Net Income was 11.686 + 19.01 + 16.045 + 13.188 = ﷼59.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -3.569 + 38.995 + 69.602 + 14.813 = ﷼119.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼132.8 Mil.
Revenue was 145.052 + 172.641 + 163.23 + 147.517 = ﷼628.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 46.782 + 51.694 + 55.647 + 47.194 = ﷼201.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼863.1 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼3,581.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼2,160.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼52.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼38.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼928.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼326.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(146.854 / 714.31) / (132.759 / 628.44)
=0.205589 / 0.211252
=0.9732

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(201.317 / 628.44) / (208.409 / 714.31)
=0.320344 / 0.291763
=1.098

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (930.604 + 2244.688) / 3731.071) / (1 - (863.093 + 2160.429) / 3581.85)
=0.14896 / 0.155877
=0.9556

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=714.31 / 628.44
=1.1366

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(52.282 / (52.282 + 2160.429)) / (58.349 / (58.349 + 2244.688))
=0.023628 / 0.025336
=0.9326

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(41.213 / 714.31) / (38.262 / 628.44)
=0.057696 / 0.060884
=0.9476

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((364.356 + 1038.547) / 3731.071) / ((326.752 + 928.216) / 3581.85)
=0.376005 / 0.350369
=1.0732

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(59.929 - 0 - 119.841) / 3731.071
=-0.016058

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northern Region Cement Co has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 mean?
Northern Region Cement Co (SAU:3004) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northern Region Cement Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Northern Region Cement Co ranks #237 out of 387 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 61.2%.
Is Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Northern Region Cement Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Based on the distribution chart, Northern Region Cement Co ranks #237 out of 387 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Northern Region Cement Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northern Region Cement Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, Northern Region Cement Co ranks #237 out of 387 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Northern Region Cement Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northern Region Cement Co and its competitors. Northern Region Cement Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northern Region Cement Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Region Cement Co (SAU:3004) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼10.29, compared to a current price of ﷼6.56 — trading 36.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Northern Region Cement Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northern Region Cement Co (SAU:3004), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Northern Region Cement Co (SAU:3004) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Region Cement Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼6.56 is trading 36.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼10.29. GuruFocus considers Northern Region Cement Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SAU:3004:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.45
  • GF Value™: ﷼10.29 vs. price of ﷼6.56 (36.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:3004 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Northern Region Cement Co Business Description

Address Airport Road, Riyadh Front, Ground Floor, Building S2, PO. Box 61011, Riyadh, SAU, 11565
Northern Region Cement Co. manufactures Ordinary Portland cement, manufacturing of white cement, manufacturing of Clinker, rock cutting using explosive materials, and retail sale of building materials, including cement, concrete blocks, gypsum, cement tiles, and other related materials. The company and its subsidiaries are managed as a single operational segment in the manufacture and production of cement of all kinds, and the company and its subsidiaries operate in Saudi Arabia, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, and the Iraqi Republic.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:3004

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼6.56
Price
﷼10.29
GF Value