Arabian Centres Co (SAU:4321) Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (As of Jul. 20, 2026)

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SAU:4321 Arabian Centres Co SAU:4321
80 GF Score
Price ﷼16.19
GF Value ﷼21.19
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Arabian Centres Co Beneish M-Score?

Arabian Centres Co SAU:4321 -1.82% 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAU:4321 with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼21.19 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,686 Real Estate companies, Arabian Centres Co ranks better than 78.59% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:4321' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.63   Max: -0.66
Current: -2.83

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arabian Centres Co was -0.66. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.63.


Arabian Centres Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arabian Centres Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arabian Centres Co Annual Data
Trend Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.47 -2.64 -2.49 -2.49 -2.89

Arabian Centres Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.49 -2.71 -2.89 -2.83

SAU:4321 vs JOE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arabian Centres Co Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SAU:4321
80GF Score
Arabian Centres Co SAU:4321
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arabian Centres Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arabian Centres Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9151+0.528 * 1.0208+0.404 * 1.0014+0.892 * 0.9708+0.115 * 0.5918
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8164+4.679 * -0.013628-0.327 * 1.024
=-2.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼955 Mil.
Revenue was 582.55 + 563.764 + 551.282 + 582.616 = ﷼2,280 Mil.
Gross Profit was 488.894 + 481.653 + 451.837 + 489.38 = ﷼1,912 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼2,810 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼34,414 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼49 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼37 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼218 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼1,674 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼16,925 Mil.
Net Income was 202.49 + 76.422 + 500.651 + 472.904 = ﷼1,252 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 114.215 + 203.987 + 838.796 + 564.457 = ﷼1,721 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼1,075 Mil.
Revenue was 590.634 + 584.669 + 587.067 + 586.546 = ﷼2,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was 511.746 + 526.625 + 486.447 + 485.492 = ﷼2,010 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼2,618 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼31,600 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼49 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼16 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼123 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼1,734 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼14,943 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(954.873 / 2280.212) / (1074.86 / 2348.916)
=0.418765 / 0.457598
=0.9151

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2010.31 / 2348.916) / (1911.764 / 2280.212)
=0.855846 / 0.838415
=1.0208

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2809.711 + 49.204) / 34413.52) / (1 - (2618.426 + 48.513) / 31600)
=0.916925 / 0.915603
=1.0014

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2280.212 / 2348.916
=0.9708

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16.364 / (16.364 + 48.513)) / (36.55 / (36.55 + 49.204))
=0.252231 / 0.426219
=0.5918

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(217.537 / 2280.212) / (123.371 / 2348.916)
=0.095402 / 0.052523
=1.8164

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16924.781 + 1674.229) / 34413.52) / ((14943.392 + 1734.075) / 31600)
=0.540456 / 0.527768
=1.024

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1252.467 - 0 - 1721.455) / 34413.52
=-0.013628

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arabian Centres Co has a M-score of -2.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 mean?
Arabian Centres Co (SAU:4321) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 as of Jul. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arabian Centres Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arabian Centres Co ranks #361 out of 1686 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 21.4%.
Is Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Arabian Centres Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Based on the distribution chart, Arabian Centres Co ranks #361 out of 1686 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Arabian Centres Co has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arabian Centres Co's Beneish M-Score compare to JOE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Arabian Centres Co ranks #361 out of 1686 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Arabian Centres Co in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arabian Centres Co and its competitors. Arabian Centres Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arabian Centres Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arabian Centres Co (SAU:4321) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼21.19, compared to a current price of ﷼16.19 — trading 23.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Arabian Centres Co's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arabian Centres Co (SAU:4321), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arabian Centres Co (SAU:4321) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arabian Centres Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼16.19 is trading 23.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼21.19. GuruFocus considers Arabian Centres Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SAU:4321:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.83
  • GF Value™: ﷼21.19 vs. price of ﷼16.19 (23.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:4321 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arabian Centres Co Business Description

Address 8838, Prince Turki Ibn Abdulaziz Al Awwal Road, King Saud University District, Riyadh, SAU, 12373-4925
Arabian Centres Co and its subsidiaries' principal business objectives are to purchase land, build, develop, and invest in buildings, and sell or lease buildings, including the construction of commercial buildings with demolition, repair, excavation, and maintenance works. The Group also maintains and operates commercial centres, tourist resorts, hotels and restaurants, and manages exhibitions, compounds, and hospitals. Its licensed activities include construction and renovation of residential and non-residential buildings, buying and selling land and real estate, leasing and property management, real estate development using modern construction methods, and real estate marketing, advertising, and maintenance service activities for buildings.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:4321

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼16.19
Price
﷼21.19
GF Value