Natural Gas Distribution Co (SAU:9516) Beneish M-Score: -2.56 (As of Jul. 18, 2026)

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SAU:9516 Natural Gas Distribution Co SAU:9516
67 GF Score
Price ﷼23.40
GF Value ﷼79.58
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Natural Gas Distribution Co Beneish M-Score?

Natural Gas Distribution Co SAU:9516 -0.43% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAU:9516 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼79.58 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 487 Utilities - Regulated companies, Natural Gas Distribution Co ranks worse than 53.59% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:9516' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.68   Max: 203.22
Current: -2.56

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Natural Gas Distribution Co was 203.22. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.68.


Natural Gas Distribution Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Natural Gas Distribution Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Natural Gas Distribution Co Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 203.22 -2.79 -2.83 -2.56

Natural Gas Distribution Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 0.00 -2.83 0.00 -2.56

SAU:9516 vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Gas Distribution Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SAU:9516
67GF Score
Natural Gas Distribution Co SAU:9516
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Natural Gas Distribution Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Natural Gas Distribution Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1.0347+0.404 * 0.9626+0.892 * 1.3556+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8807+4.679 * -0.084334-0.327 * 1.0817
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼0.0 Mil.
Revenue was ﷼149.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was ﷼11.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼36.5 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼106.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼4.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼7.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼33.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼5.9 Mil.
Net Income was ﷼7.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was ﷼0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ﷼16.6 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼0.0 Mil.
Revenue was ﷼109.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was ﷼8.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼29.8 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼93.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼5.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼5.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼29.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼3.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 149.008) / (0 / 109.921)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8.554 / 109.921) / (11.207 / 149.008)
=0.07782 / 0.075211
=1.0347

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (36.543 + 0) / 106.351) / (1 - (29.794 + 0) / 93.657)
=0.656393 / 0.681882
=0.9626

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=149.008 / 109.921
=1.3556

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.206 / (5.206 + 0)) / (4.785 / (4.785 + 0))
=1 / 1
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.046 / 149.008) / (5.902 / 109.921)
=0.047286 / 0.053693
=0.8807

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5.906 + 33.943) / 106.351) / ((3.336 + 29.107) / 93.657)
=0.374693 / 0.346402
=1.0817

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7.641 - 0 - 16.61) / 106.351
=-0.084334

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Natural Gas Distribution Co has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 mean?
Natural Gas Distribution Co (SAU:9516) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 as of Jul. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Natural Gas Distribution Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Natural Gas Distribution Co ranks #261 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 53.6%.
Is Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Natural Gas Distribution Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Based on the distribution chart, Natural Gas Distribution Co ranks #261 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Natural Gas Distribution Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Natural Gas Distribution Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Natural Gas Distribution Co ranks #261 out of 487 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Natural Gas Distribution Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Natural Gas Distribution Co and its competitors. Natural Gas Distribution Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Natural Gas Distribution Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Gas Distribution Co (SAU:9516) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼79.58, compared to a current price of ﷼23.40 — trading 70.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Natural Gas Distribution Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Natural Gas Distribution Co (SAU:9516), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Natural Gas Distribution Co (SAU:9516) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Gas Distribution Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼23.40 is trading 70.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼79.58. GuruFocus considers Natural Gas Distribution Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SAU:9516:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.56
  • GF Value™: ﷼79.58 vs. price of ﷼23.40 (70.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:9516 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Natural Gas Distribution Co Business Description

Address Al-Kharj Road, Second Industrial City, Riyadh, SAU, 11382
Natural Gas Distribution Co is engaged in the operation and maintenance of natural gas networks in the second industrial city and industrial cities in the Kingdom. The company's business is to supply the factories located in the second industrial city in Riyadh. It is supplied with natural gas from Saudi Aramco through a main pipeline.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:9516

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼23.40
Price
﷼79.58
GF Value