AMTD IDEA Group (SGX:HKB) Beneish M-Score: -2.07 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


SGX:HKB AMTD IDEA Group SGX:HKB
73 GF Score
Price S$3.49
GF Value S$2.59
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score?

AMTD IDEA Group SGX:HKB 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.07 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates SGX:HKB with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of S$2.59 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 954 Asset Management companies, AMTD IDEA Group ranks worse than 57.13% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:HKB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -1.93   Max: 43.58
Current: -2.07

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AMTD IDEA Group was 43.58. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -1.93.


AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score Chart

AMTD IDEA Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.01 1.15 -0.10 -2.07

AMTD IDEA Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.15 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -2.07

SGX:HKB vs BLK, BX, KKR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SGX:HKB
73GF Score
AMTD IDEA Group SGX:HKB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AMTD IDEA Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9089+0.528 * 1.0383+0.404 * 1.9169+0.892 * 1.0113+0.115 * 0.7499
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7379+4.679 * 0.010145-0.327 * 0.9216
=-2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$1,771.79 Mil.
Revenue was S$73.84 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$32.16 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$1,851.48 Mil.
Total Assets was S$2,969.02 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$405.37 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$12.80 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$13.50 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$209.63 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$269.64 Mil.
Net Income was S$56.27 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$3.13 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was S$23.02 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$1,927.45 Mil.
Revenue was S$73.01 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$33.02 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$2,051.87 Mil.
Total Assets was S$2,795.22 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$393.57 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$9.24 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$18.10 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$193.29 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$296.32 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1771.792 / 73.841) / (1927.449 / 73.013)
=23.994691 / 26.39871
=0.9089

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(33.016 / 73.013) / (32.16 / 73.841)
=0.452193 / 0.43553
=1.0383

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1851.479 + 405.369) / 2969.015) / (1 - (2051.872 + 393.573) / 2795.217)
=0.239866 / 0.125132
=1.9169

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=73.841 / 73.013
=1.0113

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.243 / (9.243 + 393.573)) / (12.795 / (12.795 + 405.369))
=0.022946 / 0.030598
=0.7499

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13.503 / 73.841) / (18.095 / 73.013)
=0.182866 / 0.247833
=0.7379

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((269.64 + 209.629) / 2969.015) / ((296.324 + 193.287) / 2795.217)
=0.161424 / 0.17516
=0.9216

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(56.272 - 3.131 - 23.02) / 2969.015
=0.010145

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AMTD IDEA Group has a M-score of -2.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.07 mean?
AMTD IDEA Group (SGX:HKB) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.07 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AMTD IDEA Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AMTD IDEA Group ranks #545 out of 954 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 57.1%.
Is AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
AMTD IDEA Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.07. Based on the distribution chart, AMTD IDEA Group ranks #545 out of 954 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AMTD IDEA Group has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AMTD IDEA Group's Beneish M-Score compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, AMTD IDEA Group ranks #545 out of 954 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places AMTD IDEA Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Asset Management company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AMTD IDEA Group and its competitors. AMTD IDEA Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AMTD IDEA Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AMTD IDEA Group (SGX:HKB) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is S$2.59, compared to a current price of S$3.49 — trading 34.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.07. AMTD IDEA Group's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AMTD IDEA Group (SGX:HKB), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.07 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AMTD IDEA Group (SGX:HKB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AMTD IDEA Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of S$3.49 is trading 34.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of S$2.59. GuruFocus considers AMTD IDEA Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SGX:HKB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.07
  • GF Value™: S$2.59 vs. price of S$3.49 (34.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SGX:HKB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AMTD IDEA Group Business Description

Other Exchanges AMTD:USA9AM0:Germany
Address 66 rue Jean-Jacques, Rousseau, Paris, FRA, 75001
AMTD IDEA Group is a diversified institution and digital solutions conglomerate group, connecting companies and investors with world-wide markets. The group operates its businesses in five reportable and operating segments: capital market solutions segment, digital solutions and other services segment, media and entertainment segment, hotel operations, hospitality and VIP services segment, and strategic investment segment. The group generates the majority of its revenue from the strategic investment segment that engages in proprietary investments and management of world-wide investment portfolio (including listed and unlisted equity shares investments and movie rights investments). Its geographic areas are China, Europe, America, and Southeast Asia.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SGX:HKB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

S$3.49
Price
S$2.59
GF Value