Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX:T12) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Aug. 12, 2026)

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SGX:T12 Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd SGX:T12
49 GF Score
Price S$1.00
GF Value S$0.64
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tat Seng Packaging Group Beneish M-Score?

Tat Seng Packaging Group SGX:T12 -1.49% 49 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates SGX:T12 with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of S$0.64 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 380 Packaging & Containers companies, Tat Seng Packaging Group ranks better than 72.89% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:T12' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.67
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tat Seng Packaging Group was -1.67. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.50.


Tat Seng Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tat Seng Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Tat Seng Packaging Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.82 -1.84 -2.42 -2.78

Tat Seng Packaging Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.84 0.00 -2.42 0.00 -2.78

SGX:T12 vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tat Seng Packaging Group Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SGX:T12
49GF Score
Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd SGX:T12
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tat Seng Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tat Seng Packaging Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9443+0.528 * 1.0635+0.404 * 0.8336+0.892 * 0.9113+0.115 * 0.9986
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0292+4.679 * -0.031153-0.327 * 0.9413
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$73.2 Mil.
Revenue was S$231.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$48.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$218.9 Mil.
Total Assets was S$331.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$86.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$10.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$31.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$95.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$9.5 Mil.
Net Income was S$16.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was S$27.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$85.1 Mil.
Revenue was S$253.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$56.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$210.6 Mil.
Total Assets was S$328.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$87.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$10.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$33.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$104.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$6.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(73.195 / 231.406) / (85.063 / 253.938)
=0.316306 / 0.334975
=0.9443

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(56.478 / 253.938) / (48.395 / 231.406)
=0.222409 / 0.209135
=1.0635

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (218.878 + 86.521) / 331.073) / (1 - (210.56 + 87.377) / 328.496)
=0.077548 / 0.093027
=0.8336

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=231.406 / 253.938
=0.9113

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10.452 / (10.452 + 87.377)) / (10.366 / (10.366 + 86.521))
=0.106839 / 0.106991
=0.9986

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(31.297 / 231.406) / (33.37 / 253.938)
=0.135247 / 0.13141
=1.0292

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9.453 + 95.461) / 331.073) / ((6.359 + 104.233) / 328.496)
=0.316891 / 0.336662
=0.9413

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16.887 - 0 - 27.201) / 331.073
=-0.031153

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tat Seng Packaging Group has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX:T12) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Aug. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tat Seng Packaging Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tat Seng Packaging Group ranks #103 out of 380 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 27.1%.
Is Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Tat Seng Packaging Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, Tat Seng Packaging Group ranks #103 out of 380 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tat Seng Packaging Group has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tat Seng Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Tat Seng Packaging Group ranks #103 out of 380 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Tat Seng Packaging Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tat Seng Packaging Group and its competitors. Tat Seng Packaging Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tat Seng Packaging Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX:T12) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is S$0.64, compared to a current price of S$1.00 — trading 55.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Tat Seng Packaging Group's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX:T12), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX:T12) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tat Seng Packaging Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of S$1.00 is trading 55.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of S$0.64. GuruFocus considers Tat Seng Packaging Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SGX:T12:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: S$0.64 vs. price of S$1.00 (55.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SGX:T12 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tat Seng Packaging Group Business Description

Address 28 Senoko Drive, Singapore, SGP, 758214
Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and sales of corrugated paper products and other packaging products. The company designs, manufactures and sells corrugated paper packaging products for the packing of a diverse variety of items according to customers' specifications. Its key products include corrugated paper boards, corrugated paper cartons, die-cut boxes, assembly cartons and heavy duty corrugated paper products. It also carries and sells a range of other packaging related products. Its segments include Singapore and PRC with majority of the revenue deriving from PRC.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SGX:T12

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

S$1.00
Price
S$0.64
GF Value