CITIC Heavy Industries Co (SHSE:601608) Beneish M-Score: -2.56 (As of Jul. 17, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SHSE:601608 CITIC Heavy Industries Co Ltd SHSE:601608
63 GF Score
Price ¥4.50
GF Value ¥4.07
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CITIC Heavy Industries Co Beneish M-Score?

CITIC Heavy Industries Co SHSE:601608 -6.25% 63 Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:601608 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥4.07 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,909 Industrial Products companies, CITIC Heavy Industries Co ranks better than 59.92% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:601608' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.43   Med: -2.41   Max: 4.78
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CITIC Heavy Industries Co was 4.78. The lowest was -8.43. And the median was -2.41.


CITIC Heavy Industries Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CITIC Heavy Industries Co Beneish M-Score Chart

CITIC Heavy Industries Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.76 -2.37 -2.73 -2.74 -2.42

CITIC Heavy Industries Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.39 -2.58 -2.42 -2.56

SHSE:601608 vs GEV, ETN, PH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CITIC Heavy Industries Co Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:601608
63GF Score
CITIC Heavy Industries Co Ltd SHSE:601608
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CITIC Heavy Industries Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CITIC Heavy Industries Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9858+0.528 * 1.2919+0.404 * 0.9989+0.892 * 1.0087+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1231+4.679 * -0.044119-0.327 * 1.0096
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥4,513 Mil.
Revenue was 2205.494 + 2201.479 + 1924.19 + 1788.469 = ¥8,120 Mil.
Gross Profit was 392.591 + 283.243 + 415.158 + 358.348 = ¥1,449 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥12,075 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥20,072 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥4,225 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥199 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥8,786 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥1,111 Mil.
Net Income was 95.082 + 90.507 + 81.711 + 112.32 = ¥380 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 32.905 + 801.192 + 277.441 + 153.62 = ¥1,265 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥4,539 Mil.
Revenue was 2192.859 + 2157.232 + 1987.028 + 1712.639 = ¥8,050 Mil.
Gross Profit was 415.912 + 573.189 + 433.686 + 433.48 = ¥1,856 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥11,720 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥19,313 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,960 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥176 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥8,532 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥900 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4513.091 / 8119.632) / (4538.54 / 8049.758)
=0.555825 / 0.563811
=0.9858

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1856.267 / 8049.758) / (1449.34 / 8119.632)
=0.230599 / 0.178498
=1.2919

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12074.881 + 4225.388) / 20071.676) / (1 - (11720.044 + 3960.239) / 19313.306)
=0.187897 / 0.18811
=0.9989

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8119.632 / 8049.758
=1.0087

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3960.239)) / (0 / (0 + 4225.388))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(199.444 / 8119.632) / (176.052 / 8049.758)
=0.024563 / 0.02187
=1.1231

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1111.2 + 8785.736) / 20071.676) / ((899.905 + 8532.374) / 19313.306)
=0.49308 / 0.488382
=1.0096

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(379.62 - 0 - 1265.158) / 20071.676
=-0.044119

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CITIC Heavy Industries Co has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 mean?
CITIC Heavy Industries Co (SHSE:601608) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 as of Jul. 17, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CITIC Heavy Industries Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CITIC Heavy Industries Co ranks #1166 out of 2909 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 40.1%.
Is CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
CITIC Heavy Industries Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Based on the distribution chart, CITIC Heavy Industries Co ranks #1166 out of 2909 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, CITIC Heavy Industries Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CITIC Heavy Industries Co's Beneish M-Score compare to GEV and ETN?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, CITIC Heavy Industries Co ranks #1166 out of 2909 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts CITIC Heavy Industries Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CITIC Heavy Industries Co and its competitors. CITIC Heavy Industries Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CITIC Heavy Industries Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CITIC Heavy Industries Co (SHSE:601608) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥4.07, compared to a current price of ¥4.50 — trading 10.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. CITIC Heavy Industries Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CITIC Heavy Industries Co (SHSE:601608), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CITIC Heavy Industries Co (SHSE:601608) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CITIC Heavy Industries Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥4.50 is trading 10.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥4.07. GuruFocus considers CITIC Heavy Industries Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:601608:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.56
  • GF Value™: ¥4.07 vs. price of ¥4.50 (10.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:601608 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CITIC Heavy Industries Co Business Description

Address 206 Jianshe Road, Henan Province, Luoyang, CHN, 471039
CITIC Heavy Industries Co Ltd manufactures and distributes large-scale equipment, large complete sets of technical equipment, large castings and forging. Its products include building materials, mining, metallurgy and environmental protection equipment. Geographically, it operates through China, however, its products are sold in both China and internationally.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:601608

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥4.50
Price
¥4.07
GF Value