Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (SHSE:603268) Beneish M-Score: 31.19 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


SHSE:603268 Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Ltd SHSE:603268
69 GF Score
Price ¥142.46
GF Value ¥227.65
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Beneish M-Score?

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co SHSE:603268 -2.84% 69 Beneish M-Score is 31.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603268 with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥227.65 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 419 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co ranks worse than 99.28% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 31.19 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603268' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.27   Med: -2.43   Max: 70.86
Current: 31.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co was 70.86. The lowest was -6.27. And the median was -2.43.


Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.27 -5.83 -5.14 22.09 -0.05

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.86 7.94 17.50 -0.05 31.19

SHSE:603268 vs SN, SGI, MHK: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Beneish M-Score vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SHSE:603268
69GF Score
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Ltd SHSE:603268
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 35.6934+0.528 * 0.7718+0.404 * 0.4827+0.892 * 3.1686+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4891+4.679 * -0.006075-0.327 * 0.7285
=31.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥12,341 Mil.
Revenue was 8888.335 + 9880.65 + 5078.714 + 3707.781 = ¥27,555 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1909.7 + 1851.725 + 1168.507 + 816.935 = ¥5,747 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥33,809 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥56,978 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥19,845 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥237 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥37,258 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥5,047 Mil.
Net Income was 1093.463 + 1383.258 + 624.25 + 392.976 = ¥3,494 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3995.584 + -635.179 + -620.734 + 1100.43 = ¥3,840 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥109 Mil.
Revenue was 2972.008 + 2284.349 + 1879.112 + 1561.038 = ¥8,697 Mil.
Gross Profit was 578.256 + 387.943 + 275.551 + 158.02 = ¥1,400 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥306 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥557 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥184 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥153 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥552 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥16 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12340.576 / 27555.48) / (109.115 / 8696.507)
=0.447845 / 0.012547
=35.6934

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1399.77 / 8696.507) / (5746.867 / 27555.48)
=0.160958 / 0.208556
=0.7718

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (33809.003 + 19844.78) / 56978.29) / (1 - (305.954 + 183.737) / 557.026)
=0.058347 / 0.120883
=0.4827

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27555.48 / 8696.507
=3.1686

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 183.737)) / (0 / (0 + 19844.78))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(237.286 / 27555.48) / (153.123 / 8696.507)
=0.008611 / 0.017607
=0.4891

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5047.462 + 37258.424) / 56978.29) / ((15.827 + 551.916) / 557.026)
=0.742491 / 1.01924
=0.7285

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3493.947 - 0 - 3840.101) / 56978.29
=-0.006075

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co has a M-score of 31.19 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 31.19 mean?
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (SHSE:603268) has a Beneish M-Score of 31.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co ranks #416 out of 419 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, placing it in the top 99.3%.
Is Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's current Beneish M-Score is 31.19. Based on the distribution chart, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co ranks #416 out of 419 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SN and SGI?
According to the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry distribution chart, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co ranks #416 out of 419 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co and its competitors. Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's current Beneish M-Score is 31.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (SHSE:603268) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥227.65, compared to a current price of ¥142.46 — trading 37.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 31.19. Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (SHSE:603268), the current Beneish M-Score is 31.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (SHSE:603268) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥142.46 is trading 37.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥227.65. GuruFocus considers Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:603268:

  • Beneish M-Score: 31.19
  • GF Value™: ¥227.65 vs. price of ¥142.46 (37.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:603268 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Business Description

Address No. 20, Ruyi Road Industrial Park, Building C2-2, Fengxi District, Chaozhou, CHN, 521031
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co Ltd is engaged in research & development, design, production and sale of daily-use ceramics products. It produces household porcelain, custom porcelain hotel porcelain and other daily-use ceramic products and also products like cover tableware, tea sets, coffee utensils, display porcelain, art collection porcelain and stainless steel, crystal And household items such as glass.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:603268

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥142.46
Price
¥227.65
GF Value