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Beijing Changjiu Logistics (SHSE:603569) Beneish M-Score : -2.98 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Beijing Changjiu Logistics Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603569' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.25   Max: 2.13
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Beijing Changjiu Logistics was 2.13. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.25.


Beijing Changjiu Logistics Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beijing Changjiu Logistics Beneish M-Score Chart

Beijing Changjiu Logistics Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.52 -2.73 -3.02 -2.25 -2.58

Beijing Changjiu Logistics Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.58 -2.83 -2.64 -2.98

Competitive Comparison of Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score

For the Trucking subindustry, Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beijing Changjiu Logistics's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Beijing Changjiu Logistics Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Beijing Changjiu Logistics for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8447+0.528 * 0.7464+0.404 * 1.1232+0.892 * 0.9748+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2166+4.679 * -0.056478-0.327 * 0.8507
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,499 Mil.
Revenue was 970.241 + 1005.127 + 883.076 + 1127.399 = ¥3,986 Mil.
Gross Profit was 106.57 + 110.841 + 101.37 + 132.649 = ¥451 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,520 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,360 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,398 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥136 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,870 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥473 Mil.
Net Income was 44.79 + 32.067 + 12.963 + 14.94 = ¥105 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 199.449 + 21.461 + 72.047 + 114.516 = ¥407 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,821 Mil.
Revenue was 982.927 + 913.016 + 934.264 + 1258.847 = ¥4,089 Mil.
Gross Profit was 73.078 + 60.465 + 95.272 + 116.856 = ¥346 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,592 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,290 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥115 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,026 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥691 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1499.049 / 3985.843) / (1820.57 / 4089.054)
=0.376093 / 0.44523
=0.8447

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(345.671 / 4089.054) / (451.43 / 3985.843)
=0.084536 / 0.113258
=0.7464

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2519.565 + 1398.011) / 5359.874) / (1 - (2592.21 + 1430.327) / 5289.848)
=0.269092 / 0.239574
=1.1232

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3985.843 / 4089.054
=0.9748

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1430.327)) / (0 / (0 + 1398.011))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(136.156 / 3985.843) / (114.818 / 4089.054)
=0.03416 / 0.028079
=1.2166

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((472.657 + 1869.659) / 5359.874) / ((690.901 + 2026.472) / 5289.848)
=0.43701 / 0.513696
=0.8507

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(104.76 - 0 - 407.473) / 5359.874
=-0.056478

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Beijing Changjiu Logistics has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Beijing Changjiu Logistics Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Beijing Changjiu Logistics (SHSE:603569) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Dongsanhuan North Road, 7th Floor, Block B, Jiacheng Plaza, No. 18 Xiaguangli, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 101300
Beijing Changjiu Logistics Corp provides logistics, warehousing, and distribution services. It also provides automotive logistics planning, inbound logistics, outbound logistics, second-car logistics for finished-vehicles and parts to OEMs and dealers and other related services to passenger and commercial vehicles, used cars, and auto parts. Its services include vehicle, used car, parts, pre-production, after-sale, and international logistics; and warehousing.

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