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Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co (SHSE:603915) Beneish M-Score : -2.44 (As of Jun. 13, 2024)


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What is Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603915' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.78
Current: -2.44

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co was -1.78. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was -2.32.


Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.32 -1.88 -2.34 -2.51

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.27 -2.30 -2.51 -2.44

Competitive Comparison of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.059+0.528 * 1.0846+0.404 * 1.0761+0.892 * 0.9658+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7522+4.679 * -0.026444-0.327 * 0.9231
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥848 Mil.
Revenue was 585.211 + 649.596 + 672.036 + 713.055 = ¥2,620 Mil.
Gross Profit was 134.572 + 165.711 + 171.857 + 184.484 = ¥657 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,251 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,914 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,074 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥90 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,180 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥3 Mil.
Net Income was 64.645 + 129.175 + 94.939 + 90.996 = ¥380 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7.064 + 365.425 + 101.412 + 35.795 = ¥510 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥829 Mil.
Revenue was 625.727 + 663.135 + 686.899 + 736.996 = ¥2,713 Mil.
Gross Profit was 169.988 + 191.464 + 178.93 + 197.021 = ¥737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,985 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,643 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,140 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥123 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,210 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(848.006 / 2619.898) / (829.181 / 2712.757)
=0.323679 / 0.30566
=1.059

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(737.403 / 2712.757) / (656.624 / 2619.898)
=0.271828 / 0.25063
=1.0846

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3250.621 + 1074.186) / 4913.735) / (1 - (2985.281 + 1140.446) / 4642.846)
=0.119853 / 0.11138
=1.0761

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2619.898 / 2712.757
=0.9658

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1140.446)) / (0 / (0 + 1074.186))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(89.541 / 2619.898) / (123.255 / 2712.757)
=0.034177 / 0.045435
=0.7522

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2.863 + 1179.64) / 4913.735) / ((0 + 1210.413) / 4642.846)
=0.240653 / 0.260705
=0.9231

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(379.755 - 0 - 509.696) / 4913.735
=-0.026444

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co (SHSE:603915) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.98 Longqian Road, Wujin High-Tech Zone, Jiangsu, Changzhou, CHN
Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co Ltd is primarily involved in the research and development, manufacturing an sale of reducers and motors. It offers products such as Geared motor, Cycloidal reducer, Industrial gearbox, Planetary gearbox, plastic and rubber special reducer and other products.
Executives
Xu Bin Director
Tan Jia Ming senior management
Lu Yi Pin Director
Kong Dong Hua senior management
Wang Xiao Guang Director
Yang Wei Qing senior management
Hao Jian Nan senior management

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