SMGZY (Smiths Group) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


SMGZY Smiths Group PLC SMGZY
79 GF Score
Price $33.98
GF Value $30.90
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Smiths Group Beneish M-Score?

Smiths Group SMGZY -0.98% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates SMGZY with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $30.90 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,926 Industrial Products companies, Smiths Group ranks better than 80.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SMGZY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.54
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Smiths Group was -1.54. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.53.


Smiths Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Smiths Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Smiths Group Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -1.54 -2.40 -2.65 -2.82

Smiths Group Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.65 0.00 -2.82 0.00

SMGZY vs GEV, ETN, PH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smiths Group Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SMGZY
79GF Score
Smiths Group PLC SMGZY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Smiths Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Smiths Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8736+0.528 * 1.0103+0.404 * 0.8993+0.892 * 1.1003+0.115 * 0.8385
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0055+4.679 * -0.041386-0.327 * 1.0578
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul25) TTM:Last Year (Jul24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $950 Mil.
Revenue was $3,934 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,452 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,769 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,413 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $463 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $211 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $646 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,270 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $857 Mil.
Net Income was $391 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $615 Mil.
Total Receivables was $988 Mil.
Revenue was $3,575 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,333 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,517 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,447 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $174 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $584 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,219 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $804 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(950.067 / 3933.873) / (988.417 / 3575.29)
=0.241509 / 0.276458
=0.8736

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1333.333 / 3575.29) / (1452.092 / 3933.873)
=0.37293 / 0.369125
=1.0103

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2769.231 + 462.888) / 5412.955) / (1 - (2517.375 + 489.06) / 5446.589)
=0.402892 / 0.448015
=0.8993

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3933.873 / 3575.29
=1.1003

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(173.745 / (173.745 + 489.06)) / (210.526 / (210.526 + 462.888))
=0.262136 / 0.312625
=0.8385

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(646.424 / 3933.873) / (584.299 / 3575.29)
=0.164323 / 0.163427
=1.0055

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((856.95 + 1269.906) / 5412.955) / ((804.376 + 1218.79) / 5446.589)
=0.39292 / 0.371456
=1.0578

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(391.363 - 0 - 615.385) / 5412.955
=-0.041386

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Smiths Group has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Smiths Group (SMGZY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Smiths Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Smiths Group ranks #581 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 19.9%.
Is Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Smiths Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Smiths Group ranks #581 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Smiths Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Smiths Group's Beneish M-Score compare to GEV and ETN?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Smiths Group ranks #581 out of 2926 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Smiths Group in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Smiths Group and its competitors. Smiths Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Smiths Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smiths Group (SMGZY) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $30.90, compared to a current price of $33.98 — trading 10% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Smiths Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Smiths Group (SMGZY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Smiths Group (SMGZY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smiths Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $33.98 is trading 10% above its estimated GF Value™ of $30.90. GuruFocus considers Smiths Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SMGZY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: $30.90 vs. price of $33.98 (10% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SMGZY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Smiths Group Business Description

Address 255 Blackfriars Road, Level 10, London, GBR, SE1 9AX
Smiths Group is a UK-based industrial technology company focused on engineered solutions for fluid and energy management, following the agreed divestments of its Detection and Interconnect divisions. Its two core businesses—John Crane and Flex-Tek - serve critical infrastructure, energy, aerospace, HVAC, and industrial markets. John Crane supplies mechanical seals, filtration systems, and condition-monitoring technologies used in rotating equipment, with a high-margin, recurring aftermarket business. Flex-Tek provides specialized tubing, heating components, and ducting systems primarily for US HVAC and aerospace OEMs.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SMGZY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$33.98
Price
$30.90
GF Value