SRAIF (Stadler Rail AG) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


SRAIF Stadler Rail AG SRAIF
81 GF Score
Price $28.47
GF Value $37.96
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Stadler Rail AG Beneish M-Score?

Stadler Rail AG SRAIF -0.11% 81 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates SRAIF with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $37.96 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Stadler Rail AG ranks worse than 79.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SRAIF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.3   Max: -1.07
Current: -1.99

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Stadler Rail AG was -1.07. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.30.


Stadler Rail AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Stadler Rail AG Beneish M-Score Chart

Stadler Rail AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.71 -3.33 -2.54 -1.99

Stadler Rail AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.33 0.00 -2.54 0.00 -1.99

SRAIF vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stadler Rail AG Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SRAIF
81GF Score
Stadler Rail AG SRAIF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Stadler Rail AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Stadler Rail AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9749+0.528 * 0.9976+0.404 * 1.0671+0.892 * 1.2644+0.115 * 1.0808
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9075+4.679 * 0.073397-0.327 * 0.985
=-1.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,794 Mil.
Revenue was $4,617 Mil.
Gross Profit was $527 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,316 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,473 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,507 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $148 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $281 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,557 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $635 Mil.
Net Income was $110 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $-438 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,455 Mil.
Revenue was $3,651 Mil.
Gross Profit was $416 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,803 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,567 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,229 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $245 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,578 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $946 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1793.524 / 4616.953) / (1454.97 / 3651.408)
=0.388465 / 0.398468
=0.9749

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(416.006 / 3651.408) / (527.283 / 4616.953)
=0.11393 / 0.114206
=0.9976

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5316.495 + 1506.504) / 7473.421) / (1 - (4802.768 + 1228.949) / 6567.353)
=0.087031 / 0.08156
=1.0671

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4616.953 / 3651.408
=1.2644

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(131.459 / (131.459 + 1228.949)) / (147.923 / (147.923 + 1506.504))
=0.096632 / 0.08941
=1.0808

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(280.712 / 4616.953) / (244.635 / 3651.408)
=0.0608 / 0.066997
=0.9075

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((634.63 + 5556.875) / 7473.421) / ((945.538 + 4578.319) / 6567.353)
=0.82847 / 0.841109
=0.985

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(110.458 - 0 - -438.07) / 7473.421
=0.073397

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Stadler Rail AG has a M-score of -1.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
Stadler Rail AG (SRAIF) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Stadler Rail AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Stadler Rail AG ranks #770 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 79.7%.
Is Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score too high?
Stadler Rail AG's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, Stadler Rail AG ranks #770 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Stadler Rail AG has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Stadler Rail AG's Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Stadler Rail AG ranks #770 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Stadler Rail AG in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Stadler Rail AG and its competitors. Stadler Rail AG's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Stadler Rail AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Stadler Rail AG (SRAIF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $37.96, compared to a current price of $28.47 — trading 25% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Stadler Rail AG's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Stadler Rail AG (SRAIF), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Stadler Rail AG (SRAIF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Stadler Rail AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $28.47 is trading 25% below its estimated GF Value™ of $37.96. GuruFocus considers Stadler Rail AG to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SRAIF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: $37.96 vs. price of $28.47 (25% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SRAIF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Stadler Rail AG Business Description

Address Ernst-Stadler-Strasse 1, Bussnang, CHE, CH-9565
Stadler Rail AG is a Switzerland based producer of rolling stock and related systems. The company operates in three reportable segments that are Rolling Stock segment which include the manufacturing of various types of rail vehicles. The Service & Components segment offers full service, modernization and revision, spare parts service, and vehicle repairs, including the maintenance and assessment of defects, and Signalling segment develops and distributes various signalling solutions for vehicles and infrastructures. Geographically, the company operates in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, America, CIS and Rest of the world.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SRAIF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$28.47
Price
$37.96
GF Value