The AES (STU:AES) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Aug. 09, 2026)

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STU:AES The AES Corp STU:AES
79 GF Score
Price €12.71
GF Value €13.74
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The AES Beneish M-Score?

The AES STU:AES -0.47% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:AES with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €13.74 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 485 Utilities - Regulated companies, The AES ranks better than 72.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The AES's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:AES' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.74   Max: -1.98
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The AES was -1.98. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.74.


The AES Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The AES's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The AES Beneish M-Score Chart

The AES Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.09 -2.42 -2.85 -2.49 -2.66

The AES Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.67 -2.66 -2.75 -2.78

STU:AES vs AVA, UTL, SRE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, The AES's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The AES Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, The AES's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The AES's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:AES
79GF Score
The AES Corp STU:AES
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The AES Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The AES for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.015+0.528 * 0.8319+0.404 * 0.8571+0.892 * 1.0228+0.115 * 1.0048
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7771+4.679 * -0.048385-0.327 * 0.9734
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,679 Mil.
Revenue was 2970.296 + 2750.7 + 2648.254 + 2855.052 = €11,224 Mil.
Gross Profit was 600.656 + 553.6 + 497.028 + 626.22 = €2,278 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,558 Mil.
Total Assets was €47,079 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €35,290 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,405 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €200 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €7,446 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €24,873 Mil.
Net Income was 369.768 + 421.255 + 273.28 + 544.428 = €1,609 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 105.896 + -47.575 + -417.606 + -76.68 = €-436 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 907.928 + 1038.865 + 1270.752 + 1105.044 = €4,323 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,617 Mil.
Revenue was 2475.285 + 2706.55 + 2828.71 + 2963.389 = €10,974 Mil.
Gross Profit was 392.751 + 407.925 + 401.1 + 650.522 = €1,852 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,479 Mil.
Total Assets was €42,086 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €30,108 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,204 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €251 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,658 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €23,022 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1678.712 / 11224.302) / (1616.955 / 10973.934)
=0.14956 / 0.147345
=1.015

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1852.298 / 10973.934) / (2277.504 / 11224.302)
=0.168791 / 0.202908
=0.8319

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5557.804 + 35290.276) / 47078.584) / (1 - (5479.44 + 30108.309) / 42085.914)
=0.132343 / 0.154402
=0.8571

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11224.302 / 10973.934
=1.0228

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1204.4 / (1204.4 + 30108.309)) / (1404.691 / (1404.691 + 35290.276))
=0.038464 / 0.03828
=1.0048

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(199.509 / 11224.302) / (251.015 / 10973.934)
=0.017775 / 0.022874
=0.7771

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((24872.54 + 7445.704) / 47078.584) / ((23022.318 + 6657.693) / 42085.914)
=0.686474 / 0.705224
=0.9734

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1608.731 - -435.965 - 4322.589) / 47078.584
=-0.048385

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The AES has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
The AES (STU:AES) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Aug. 09, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The AES and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The AES ranks #134 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 27.6%.
Is The AES's Beneish M-Score too high?
The AES's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, The AES ranks #134 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The AES has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The AES's Beneish M-Score compare to AVA and UTL?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, The AES ranks #134 out of 485 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The AES in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The AES and its competitors. The AES's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The AES stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The AES (STU:AES) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €13.74, compared to a current price of €12.71 — trading 7.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. The AES's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The AES (STU:AES), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The AES (STU:AES) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The AES stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €12.71 is trading 7.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of €13.74. GuruFocus considers The AES to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for STU:AES:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: €13.74 vs. price of €12.71 (7.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:AES stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The AES Business Description

Address 4300 Wilson Boulevard, Arlington, VA, USA, 22203
AES is a global power company that operates in 15 countries. Its generation portfolio totals over 32 gigawatts, including renewable energy, gas, coal, and oil. AES has majority ownership in and operates numerous electric utilities.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:AES

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€12.71
Price
€13.74
GF Value