China Water Affairs Group (STU:CUBB) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:CUBB China Water Affairs Group Ltd STU:CUBB
41 GF Score
Price €0.50
GF Value €0.44
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score?

China Water Affairs Group STU:CUBB -0.79% 41 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:CUBB with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.44 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 486 Utilities - Regulated companies, China Water Affairs Group ranks worse than 66.67% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:CUBB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.35   Max: -2.29
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Water Affairs Group was -2.29. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.35.


China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Water Affairs Group Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.29 -2.35 -2.35 -2.44

China Water Affairs Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.35 0.00 -2.44 0.00

STU:CUBB vs AWK, WTRG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:CUBB
41GF Score
China Water Affairs Group Ltd STU:CUBB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Water Affairs Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Water Affairs Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3362+0.528 * 0.9828+0.404 * 1.0256+0.892 * 0.9173+0.115 * 0.8011
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9367+4.679 * -0.035194-0.327 * 1.0167
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,071 Mil.
Revenue was €1,387 Mil.
Gross Profit was €524 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,097 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,841 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €460 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €134 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €110 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,548 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,363 Mil.
Net Income was €128 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €404 Mil.
Total Receivables was €874 Mil.
Revenue was €1,512 Mil.
Gross Profit was €562 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,985 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,437 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €566 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €124 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €128 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,440 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,142 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1070.78 / 1387.067) / (873.639 / 1512.186)
=0.771974 / 0.577733
=1.3362

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(561.663 / 1512.186) / (524.213 / 1387.067)
=0.371425 / 0.377929
=0.9828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2096.833 + 459.99) / 7841.417) / (1 - (1984.611 + 565.734) / 7437.39)
=0.673934 / 0.657091
=1.0256

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1387.067 / 1512.186
=0.9173

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(124.445 / (124.445 + 565.734)) / (133.612 / (133.612 + 459.99))
=0.180308 / 0.225087
=0.8011

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(109.988 / 1387.067) / (128.01 / 1512.186)
=0.079295 / 0.084652
=0.9367

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2363.137 + 2547.823) / 7841.417) / ((2141.655 + 2439.936) / 7437.39)
=0.626285 / 0.616021
=1.0167

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(127.89 - 0 - 403.86) / 7841.417
=-0.035194

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Water Affairs Group has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
China Water Affairs Group (STU:CUBB) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Water Affairs Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Water Affairs Group ranks #324 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 66.7%.
Is China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Water Affairs Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, China Water Affairs Group ranks #324 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, China Water Affairs Group has a GF Score™ of 41/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Water Affairs Group's Beneish M-Score compare to AWK and WTRG?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, China Water Affairs Group ranks #324 out of 486 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Water Affairs Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Water Affairs Group and its competitors. China Water Affairs Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Water Affairs Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Water Affairs Group (STU:CUBB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.44, compared to a current price of €0.50 — trading 14.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. China Water Affairs Group's overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Water Affairs Group (STU:CUBB), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Water Affairs Group (STU:CUBB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Water Affairs Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.50 is trading 14.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.44. GuruFocus considers China Water Affairs Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:CUBB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: €0.44 vs. price of €0.50 (14.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:CUBB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Water Affairs Group Business Description

Other Exchanges CWAFF:USA00855:Hong Kong
Address 18 Harbour Road, Central Plaza, Suite 6408, 64th Floor, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Water Affairs Group Ltd is a Chinese water utility company that builds, operates, and invests in water affairs projects in China. The firm's primary segments include City water supply operation, main contractor construction, Environmental protection, and Pipeline direct drinking water supply. It generates a majority of its revenue from the City water supply operation segment. Geographically, the company generates a maximum share of its revenue from the People's Republic of China.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:CUBB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.50
Price
€0.44
GF Value