Lundin Gold (STU:F1YN) Beneish M-Score: -3.14 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:F1YN Lundin Gold Inc STU:F1YN
91 GF Score
Price €47.20
GF Value €40.10
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score?

Lundin Gold STU:F1YN +2.32% 91 Beneish M-Score is -3.14 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:F1YN with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of €40.10 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Lundin Gold ranks better than 85.55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.14 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:F1YN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.08   Med: -3.27   Max: 6.28
Current: -3.14

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lundin Gold was 6.28. The lowest was -4.08. And the median was -3.27.


Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Lundin Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -3.72 -3.59 -3.41 -3.19

Lundin Gold Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.56 -3.27 -3.26 -3.19 -3.14

STU:F1YN vs NEM, AU: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:F1YN
91GF Score
Lundin Gold Inc STU:F1YN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lundin Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6352+0.528 * 0.8784+0.404 * 1.8371+0.892 * 1.3968+0.115 * 0.9217
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1526+4.679 * -0.154378-0.327 * 1.7499
=-3.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €185 Mil.
Revenue was 490.784 + 449.713 + 380.945 + 392.647 = €1,714 Mil.
Gross Profit was 363.908 + 318.885 + 260.054 + 272.378 = €1,215 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €889 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,583 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €658 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €119 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €54 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €394 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.
Net Income was 236.431 + 200.011 + 176.973 + 170.566 = €784 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.032 + -1.132 + 0.051 + -1.113 = €-2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 320.029 + 306.079 + 183.634 + 220.896 = €1,031 Mil.
Total Receivables was €209 Mil.
Revenue was 329.619 + 326.41 + 291.101 + 280.029 = €1,227 Mil.
Gross Profit was 216.03 + 205.524 + 183.069 + 159.562 = €764 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €722 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,492 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €752 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €124 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €34 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €212 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(185.132 / 1714.089) / (208.649 / 1227.159)
=0.108006 / 0.170026
=0.6352

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(764.185 / 1227.159) / (1215.225 / 1714.089)
=0.622727 / 0.708963
=0.8784

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (888.674 + 658.225) / 1583.329) / (1 - (721.82 + 751.853) / 1492.363)
=0.023008 / 0.012524
=1.8371

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1714.089 / 1227.159
=1.3968

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(123.504 / (123.504 + 751.853)) / (118.965 / (118.965 + 658.225))
=0.14109 / 0.153071
=0.9217

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(54.499 / 1714.089) / (33.853 / 1227.159)
=0.031795 / 0.027586
=1.1526

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 393.799) / 1583.329) / ((0 + 212.115) / 1492.363)
=0.248716 / 0.142134
=1.7499

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(783.981 - -2.226 - 1030.638) / 1583.329
=-0.154378

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lundin Gold has a M-score of -3.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.14 mean?
Lundin Gold (STU:F1YN) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.14 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lundin Gold and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #99 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 14.5%.
Is Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score too high?
Lundin Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -3.14. Based on the distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #99 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lundin Gold has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #99 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Lundin Gold in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lundin Gold and its competitors. Lundin Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -3.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lundin Gold stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lundin Gold (STU:F1YN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €40.10, compared to a current price of €47.20 — trading 17.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.14. Lundin Gold's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lundin Gold (STU:F1YN), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.14 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lundin Gold (STU:F1YN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lundin Gold stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €47.20 is trading 17.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €40.10. GuruFocus considers Lundin Gold to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:F1YN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.14
  • GF Value™: €40.10 vs. price of €47.20 (17.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:F1YN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lundin Gold Business Description

Address 1055 Dunsmuir Street, Suite 2800, Four Bentall Centre, Po Box 49225, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V7X 1L2
Lundin Gold Inc is a Canada based company focused on its Fruta del Norte gold operation and developing its portfolio of mineral concessions in Ecuador. The Fruta del Norte deposit is located within long copper-gold metallogenic sub-province located in the Cordillera del Condor region in southeastern Ecuador. The company[s primary business activity is the Fruta del Norte operating mine in Ecuador which derives majority of its revenues.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:F1YN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€47.20
Price
€40.10
GF Value