Guangdong Investment (STU:GUG) Beneish M-Score: -2.23 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:GUG Guangdong Investment Ltd STU:GUG
39 GF Score
Price €0.86
GF Value €0.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score?

Guangdong Investment STU:GUG -0.14% 39 Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:GUG with a GF Score™ of 39/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.62 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 485 Utilities - Regulated companies, Guangdong Investment ranks worse than 81.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:GUG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.31   Max: -0.53
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangdong Investment was -0.53. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.31.


Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangdong Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.15 -2.52 -2.98 -2.23

Guangdong Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 0.00 -2.98 0.00 -2.23

STU:GUG vs AWK, WTRG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:GUG
39GF Score
Guangdong Investment Ltd STU:GUG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guangdong Investment Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangdong Investment for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1579+0.528 * 0.9958+0.404 * 1.3819+0.892 * 0.9088+0.115 * 1.0267
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8946+4.679 * -0.040782-0.327 * 0.6729
=-2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €962 Mil.
Revenue was €2,066 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,101 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,663 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,167 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,238 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €272 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €300 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,313 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,709 Mil.
Net Income was €511 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €966 Mil.
Total Receivables was €914 Mil.
Revenue was €2,273 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,207 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €7,463 Mil.
Total Assets was €16,659 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,352 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €307 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €369 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,848 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,067 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(961.713 / 2066.172) / (913.933 / 2273.465)
=0.465456 / 0.402
=1.1579

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1206.737 / 2273.465) / (1101.339 / 2066.172)
=0.530792 / 0.533034
=0.9958

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2663.443 + 1238.457) / 11166.829) / (1 - (7463.245 + 1352.492) / 16658.555)
=0.650581 / 0.470798
=1.3819

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2066.172 / 2273.465
=0.9088

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(306.555 / (306.555 + 1352.492)) / (271.817 / (271.817 + 1238.457))
=0.184778 / 0.179979
=1.0267

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(299.945 / 2066.172) / (368.938 / 2273.465)
=0.145169 / 0.16228
=0.8946

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1708.645 + 2312.725) / 11166.829) / ((2067.181 + 6847.673) / 16658.555)
=0.360117 / 0.535152
=0.6729

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(511.059 - 0 - 966.46) / 11166.829
=-0.040782

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangdong Investment has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 mean?
Guangdong Investment (STU:GUG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangdong Investment and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Guangdong Investment ranks #395 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 81.4%.
Is Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score too high?
Guangdong Investment's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Based on the distribution chart, Guangdong Investment ranks #395 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Guangdong Investment has a GF Score™ of 39/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guangdong Investment's Beneish M-Score compare to AWK and WTRG?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Guangdong Investment ranks #395 out of 485 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Guangdong Investment in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guangdong Investment and its competitors. Guangdong Investment's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guangdong Investment stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guangdong Investment (STU:GUG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.62, compared to a current price of €0.86 — trading 39.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Guangdong Investment's overall GF Score™ is 39/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guangdong Investment (STU:GUG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guangdong Investment (STU:GUG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guangdong Investment stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.86 is trading 39.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.62. GuruFocus considers Guangdong Investment to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:GUG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.23
  • GF Value™: €0.62 vs. price of €0.86 (39.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 39/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:GUG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guangdong Investment Business Description

Other Exchanges GGDVY:USA00270:Hong Kong
Address 148 Connaught Road Central, 28th and 29th Floors, Guangdong Investment Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
Guangdong Investment Ltd is engaged in investment holding. The segments of the company include Water resources, Property investment, Department store operation, Electric power generation, Hotel operation and management, Road and bridge segment, and Others segment. The company derives its revenue from the Water resources segment that engages in water distribution, sewage treatment, and construction of water supply and sewage treatment infrastructure for customers in Mainland China and Hong Kong. Geographically, the company generates almost all of its revenue from the Mainland China.
39GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:GUG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.86
Price
€0.62
GF Value