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Harmonic Drive Systems (STU:K3R) Beneish M-Score : -4.33 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Harmonic Drive Systems Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.33 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:K3R' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.33   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.52
Current: -4.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Harmonic Drive Systems was -1.52. The lowest was -4.33. And the median was -2.48.


Harmonic Drive Systems Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harmonic Drive Systems Beneish M-Score Chart

Harmonic Drive Systems Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.27 -2.46 -2.52 -2.46 -4.33

Harmonic Drive Systems Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -4.33 - -

Competitive Comparison of Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harmonic Drive Systems's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Harmonic Drive Systems Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Harmonic Drive Systems for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8574+0.528 * 1.2889+0.404 * 0.5727+0.892 * 0.6855+0.115 * 0.9241
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.315048-0.327 * 1.0753
=-4.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €72.2 Mil.
Revenue was €342.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was €95.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €291.4 Mil.
Total Assets was €731.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €295.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €63.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €72.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €122.1 Mil.
Net Income was €-152.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €78.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was €122.8 Mil.
Revenue was €499.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was €180.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €364.6 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,078.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €341.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €66.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €115.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €151.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(72.179 / 342.633) / (122.798 / 499.808)
=0.21066 / 0.24569
=0.8574

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(180.186 / 499.808) / (95.836 / 342.633)
=0.36051 / 0.279705
=1.2889

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (291.428 + 295.661) / 731.624) / (1 - (364.584 + 341.884) / 1078.448)
=0.197554 / 0.344922
=0.5727

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=342.633 / 499.808
=0.6855

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(66.905 / (66.905 + 341.884)) / (63.634 / (63.634 + 295.661))
=0.163666 / 0.177108
=0.9241

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 342.633) / (0 / 499.808)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((122.099 + 71.969) / 731.624) / ((150.957 + 115.069) / 1078.448)
=0.265256 / 0.246675
=1.0753

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-152.334 - 0 - 78.163) / 731.624
=-0.315048

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Harmonic Drive Systems has a M-score of -4.42 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Harmonic Drive Systems Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Harmonic Drive Systems Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6-25-3 Minami-Oi, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 140-0013
Harmonic Drive Systems manufactures and sells high-precision reduction gears (speed reducers) under the Harmonic Drive brand as well as other mechatronics products such as rotary actuators, linear actuators, and AC servo motors. The company also provides planetary-gear speed reducers under the AccuDrive and Harmonic Planetary brands. Its products are used in industrial robots, semiconductor production equipment, and other high-precision equipment. HDS was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Tokyo.

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