National Fuel Gas Co (STU:NFG) Beneish M-Score: -2.57 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:NFG National Fuel Gas Co STU:NFG
84 GF Score
Price €67.50
GF Value €69.32
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is National Fuel Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

National Fuel Gas Co STU:NFG 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:NFG with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of €69.32 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, National Fuel Gas Co ranks worse than 57.18% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:NFG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.05
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Fuel Gas Co was -2.05. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.64.


National Fuel Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Fuel Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

National Fuel Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.05 -3.26 -2.96 -2.57

National Fuel Gas Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.57 0.00 0.00

STU:NFG vs DEC, UNTC, SLNG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Fuel Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:NFG
84GF Score
National Fuel Gas Co STU:NFG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Fuel Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Fuel Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0824+0.528 * 0.9123+0.404 * 0.91+0.892 * 1.1074+0.115 * 1.0488
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.05461-0.327 * 0.9613
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €193 Mil.
Revenue was €1,940 Mil.
Gross Profit was €894 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €350 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,429 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,571 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €389 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €789 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,030 Mil.
Net Income was €442 Mil.
Gross Profit was €-90 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €937 Mil.
Total Receivables was €161 Mil.
Revenue was €1,752 Mil.
Gross Profit was €737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €321 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,496 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,613 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €412 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €987 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,972 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(192.501 / 1940.465) / (160.599 / 1752.274)
=0.099204 / 0.091652
=1.0824

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(736.751 / 1752.274) / (894.294 / 1940.465)
=0.420454 / 0.460866
=0.9123

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (349.939 + 6571.171) / 7428.677) / (1 - (320.683 + 6612.624) / 7496.113)
=0.068325 / 0.07508
=0.91

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1940.465 / 1752.274
=1.1074

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(411.78 / (411.78 + 6612.624)) / (389.018 / (389.018 + 6571.171))
=0.058621 / 0.055892
=1.0488

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1940.465) / (0 / 1752.274)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2030.198 + 788.751) / 7428.677) / ((1971.607 + 987.399) / 7496.113)
=0.379469 / 0.394739
=0.9613

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(441.765 - -89.779 - 937.223) / 7428.677
=-0.05461

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Fuel Gas Co has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 mean?
National Fuel Gas Co (STU:NFG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Fuel Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National Fuel Gas Co ranks #470 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 57.2%.
Is National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
National Fuel Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Based on the distribution chart, National Fuel Gas Co ranks #470 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, National Fuel Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Fuel Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to DEC and UNTC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, National Fuel Gas Co ranks #470 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places National Fuel Gas Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Fuel Gas Co and its competitors. National Fuel Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Fuel Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Fuel Gas Co (STU:NFG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €69.32, compared to a current price of €67.50 — trading 2.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. National Fuel Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Fuel Gas Co (STU:NFG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Fuel Gas Co (STU:NFG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Fuel Gas Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €67.50 is trading 2.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of €69.32. GuruFocus considers National Fuel Gas Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for STU:NFG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.57
  • GF Value™: €69.32 vs. price of €67.50 (2.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:NFG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Fuel Gas Co Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges NFG:USANFG:Mexico
Address 6363 Main Street, Williamsville, NY, USA, 14221
National Fuel Gas Co is a diversified energy company involved in natural gas production, gathering, transportation, distribution, and marketing. It operates through three segments: Integrated Upstream and Gathering, Pipeline and Storage, and Utility. The majority of revenue comes from the Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment, which focuses on Seneca's natural gas exploration and development in the Appalachian region and Midstream operations supporting gas processing and gathering. The Pipeline and Storage segment transports and stores natural gas for customers in the northeastern United States and Canada, while the Utility segment supplies natural gas to retail customers in western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania. the company opeartes in United States.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:NFG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€67.50
Price
€69.32
GF Value