Nippon Steel (STU:NPS) Beneish M-Score: -2.35 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:NPS Nippon Steel Corp STU:NPS
68 GF Score
Price €2.95
GF Value €3.93
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nippon Steel Beneish M-Score?

Nippon Steel STU:NPS -0.54% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:NPS with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.93 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 593 Steel companies, Nippon Steel ranks worse than 60.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:NPS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.13   Med: -2.38   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nippon Steel was -2.22. The lowest was -3.13. And the median was -2.38.


Nippon Steel Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nippon Steel Beneish M-Score Chart

Nippon Steel Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.26 -2.23 -2.43 -2.35

Nippon Steel Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.57 -2.58 -2.53 -2.35

STU:NPS vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Steel Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:NPS
68GF Score
Nippon Steel Corp STU:NPS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nippon Steel Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nippon Steel for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0215+0.528 * 1.0981+0.404 * 0.9362+0.892 * 1.063+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0527+4.679 * 0.000167-0.327 * 1.3052
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €9,639 Mil.
Revenue was 15300.738 + 14354.342 + 15136.434 + 12053.87 = €56,845 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2290.488 + 2038.47 + 2038.254 + 1792.543 = €8,160 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €28,834 Mil.
Total Assets was €79,917 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €32,920 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,617 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €16,204 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €25,447 Mil.
Net Income was 338.842 + 374.53 + 475.102 + -1175.132 = €13 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Total Receivables was €8,877 Mil.
Revenue was 13298.892 + 13490.219 + 13791.791 + 12896.946 = €53,478 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2093.608 + 2170.194 + 2046.684 + 2118.668 = €8,429 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €28,226 Mil.
Total Assets was €67,905 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €23,194 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,019 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €14,493 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €12,622 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9638.83 / 56845.384) / (8876.786 / 53477.848)
=0.169562 / 0.16599
=1.0215

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8429.154 / 53477.848) / (8159.755 / 56845.384)
=0.15762 / 0.143543
=1.0981

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28834.133 + 32919.706) / 79916.741) / (1 - (28226.439 + 23193.752) / 67905.116)
=0.227273 / 0.242764
=0.9362

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=56845.384 / 53477.848
=1.063

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 23193.752)) / (0 / (0 + 32919.706))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5616.742 / 56845.384) / (5019.427 / 53477.848)
=0.098807 / 0.09386
=1.0527

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((25447.231 + 16204.497) / 79916.741) / ((12622.463 + 14493.263) / 67905.116)
=0.521189 / 0.399318
=1.3052

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13.342 - 0 - 0) / 79916.741
=0.000167

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nippon Steel has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 mean?
Nippon Steel (STU:NPS) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.35 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Steel and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nippon Steel ranks #360 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 60.7%.
Is Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nippon Steel's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Based on the distribution chart, Nippon Steel ranks #360 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nippon Steel has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nippon Steel's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Nippon Steel ranks #360 out of 593 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Nippon Steel in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Steel and its competitors. Nippon Steel's current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nippon Steel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Steel (STU:NPS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.93, compared to a current price of €2.95 — trading 24.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.35. Nippon Steel's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nippon Steel (STU:NPS), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.35 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nippon Steel (STU:NPS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Steel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €2.95 is trading 24.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €3.93. GuruFocus considers Nippon Steel to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:NPS:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.35
  • GF Value™: €3.93 vs. price of €2.95 (24.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:NPS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nippon Steel Business Description

Address 2-6-1 Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8071
Nippon Steel Corp is mainly engaged in the steel manufacturing business, engineering business, chemical & material business, and system solution business. The company operates through four business segments. The Chemicals & Materials segment manufactures and sells coal chemicals, petrochemicals, electronic materials, semiconductors, carbon fibers, composites, and processed metal products. The Engineering segment handles industrial machinery, steel structures, construction contracting, waste disposal, recycling, and energy supply. The Steel segment focuses on the production and sale of steel products. The System Solutions segment provides IT consulting, outsourcing, and related services. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Steel segment.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:NPS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.95
Price
€3.93
GF Value