China Oriental Group Co (STU:ORG) Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:ORG China Oriental Group Co Ltd STU:ORG
66 GF Score
Price €0.11
GF Value €0.11
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score?

China Oriental Group Co STU:ORG 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:ORG with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.11 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 593 Steel companies, China Oriental Group Co ranks better than 69.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:ORG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.26   Max: -0.76
Current: -2.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Oriental Group Co was -0.76. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.26.


China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China Oriental Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -1.52 -0.76 -2.95 -2.77

China Oriental Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.76 0.00 -2.95 0.00 -2.77

STU:ORG vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:ORG
66GF Score
China Oriental Group Co Ltd STU:ORG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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China Oriental Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Oriental Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9968+0.528 * 0.6895+0.404 * 1.1301+0.892 * 0.867+0.115 * 0.9777
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2183+4.679 * -0.023617-0.327 * 1.0051
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €891 Mil.
Revenue was €4,875 Mil.
Gross Profit was €277 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,432 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,141 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,953 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €142 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €137 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,752 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €327 Mil.
Net Income was €27 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €172 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,032 Mil.
Revenue was €5,622 Mil.
Gross Profit was €220 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,816 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,569 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,037 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €130 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,907 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €370 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(891.457 / 4874.604) / (1031.502 / 5622.141)
=0.182878 / 0.183471
=0.9968

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(220 / 5622.141) / (276.663 / 4874.604)
=0.039131 / 0.056756
=0.6895

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3432.319 + 1953.029) / 6141.029) / (1 - (3815.835 + 2037.464) / 6568.527)
=0.123054 / 0.108887
=1.1301

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4874.604 / 5622.141
=0.867

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(144.797 / (144.797 + 2037.464)) / (142.187 / (142.187 + 1953.029))
=0.066352 / 0.067863
=0.9777

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(136.884 / 4874.604) / (129.59 / 5622.141)
=0.028081 / 0.02305
=1.2183

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((327.193 + 2751.773) / 6141.029) / ((369.697 + 2906.767) / 6568.527)
=0.501376 / 0.498813
=1.0051

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(27.277 - 0 - 172.312) / 6141.029
=-0.023617

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Oriental Group Co has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 mean?
China Oriental Group Co (STU:ORG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Oriental Group Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Oriental Group Co ranks #183 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 30.9%.
Is China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
China Oriental Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. Based on the distribution chart, China Oriental Group Co ranks #183 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Oriental Group Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Oriental Group Co's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, China Oriental Group Co ranks #183 out of 593 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts China Oriental Group Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Oriental Group Co and its competitors. China Oriental Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Oriental Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Oriental Group Co (STU:ORG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.11, compared to a current price of €0.11 — trading 0.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.77. China Oriental Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Oriental Group Co (STU:ORG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.77 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Oriental Group Co (STU:ORG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Oriental Group Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.11 is trading 0.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.11. GuruFocus considers China Oriental Group Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for STU:ORG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.77
  • GF Value™: €0.11 vs. price of €0.11 (0.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:ORG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Oriental Group Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 00581:Hong KongORG:Germany
Address 23 Harbour Road, Suites 901-2 and 10, 9th Floor, Great Eagle Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Oriental Group Co Ltd is involved in investment holding and trading of steel products and iron ore. The company, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of iron and steel products, the trading of steel products, iron ore, and related raw materials, the sale of power equipment, and the real estate business. The Group's product offerings mainly include rebars, billets, cold-rolled sheets and galvanized sheets, steel strips and strip products, and H-section steel products, among others. Its operating segments are: Iron and steel, which generates the maximum revenue, and Real estate. Geographically, the Group generates the majority of its revenue from the People's Republic of China (PRC).
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:ORG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.11
Price
€0.11
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