Royal Caribbean Group (STU:RC8) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:RC8 Royal Caribbean Group STU:RC8
81 GF Score
Price €282.90
GF Value €216.77
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Royal Caribbean Group Beneish M-Score?

Royal Caribbean Group STU:RC8 +0.28% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:RC8 with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of €216.77 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Royal Caribbean Group ranks better than 55.1% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:RC8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.66   Max: 187.3
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Royal Caribbean Group was 187.30. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.66.


Royal Caribbean Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Royal Caribbean Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Royal Caribbean Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -1.34 -2.99 -2.88 -2.90

Royal Caribbean Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -2.73 -2.99 -2.90 -2.68

STU:RC8 vs ABNB, VIK, CCL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royal Caribbean Group Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:RC8
81GF Score
Royal Caribbean Group STU:RC8
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Royal Caribbean Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Royal Caribbean Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0298+0.528 * 0.97+0.404 * 0.9596+0.892 * 1.0186+0.115 * 1.0381
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9448+4.679 * -0.063372-0.327 * 0.9653
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €414 Mil.
Revenue was 3850.98 + 3636.332 + 4378.428 + 3934.446 = €15,800 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1907.325 + 1722.518 + 2265.468 + 1955.085 = €7,850 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,906 Mil.
Total Assets was €36,321 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €31,568 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,519 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,927 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,571 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €17,529 Mil.
Net Income was 813.965 + 643.916 + 1341.9 + 1049.07 = €3,849 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 74.39 + 146.888 + 103.944 + 87.567 = €413 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1586.41 + 1386.042 + 1251.588 + 1513.782 = €5,738 Mil.
Total Receivables was €395 Mil.
Revenue was 3699.075 + 3591.755 + 4402.286 + 3818.19 = €15,511 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1776.925 + 1632.095 + 2247.995 + 1818.982 = €7,476 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,691 Mil.
Total Assets was €34,643 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €30,123 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,507 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,002 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,528 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €17,249 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(414.335 / 15800.186) / (394.975 / 15511.306)
=0.026223 / 0.025464
=1.0298

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7475.997 / 15511.306) / (7850.396 / 15800.186)
=0.481971 / 0.496855
=0.97

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1906.46 + 31568.175) / 36321.35) / (1 - (1690.9 + 30122.625) / 34643.1)
=0.078376 / 0.081678
=0.9596

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15800.186 / 15511.306
=1.0186

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1507.157 / (1507.157 + 30122.625)) / (1518.638 / (1518.638 + 31568.175))
=0.04765 / 0.045899
=1.0381

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1926.63 / 15800.186) / (2001.83 / 15511.306)
=0.121937 / 0.129056
=0.9448

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17529.225 + 9571.225) / 36321.35) / ((17249.4 + 9527.5) / 34643.1)
=0.74613 / 0.772936
=0.9653

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3848.851 - 412.789 - 5737.822) / 36321.35
=-0.063372

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Royal Caribbean Group has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
Royal Caribbean Group (STU:RC8) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #370 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 44.9%.
Is Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Royal Caribbean Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #370 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Royal Caribbean Group has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Royal Caribbean Group's Beneish M-Score compare to ABNB and VIK?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Royal Caribbean Group ranks #370 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Royal Caribbean Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors. Royal Caribbean Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Royal Caribbean Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group (STU:RC8) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €216.77, compared to a current price of €282.90 — trading 30.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Royal Caribbean Group's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Royal Caribbean Group (STU:RC8), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Royal Caribbean Group (STU:RC8) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €282.90 is trading 30.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €216.77. GuruFocus considers Royal Caribbean Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:RC8:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: €216.77 vs. price of €282.90 (30.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:RC8 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Royal Caribbean Group Business Description

Address 1050 Caribbean Way, Miami, FL, USA, 33132
Royal Caribbean is the world's second-largest cruise company by revenues, operating 69 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry. Brands the company operates include Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. The company also has a 50% investment in a joint venture that operates TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. The selection of brands in the portfolio allows Royal to compete on the basis of innovation, quality of ships and service, variety of itineraries, choice of destinations, and price. The company completed the divestiture of its Azamara brand in 2021, plans to launch its new Celebrity River Cruise brand in 2027, and is set to operate eight private destination locations by 2028.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:RC8

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€282.90
Price
€216.77
GF Value