TUI AG (STU:TUI1) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:TUI1 TUI AG STU:TUI1
68 GF Score
Price €7.69
GF Value €7.16
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is TUI AG Beneish M-Score?

TUI AG STU:TUI1 +5.23% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:TUI1 with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.16 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, TUI AG ranks better than 64.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TUI AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:TUI1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.53   Med: -2.74   Max: 76.32
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TUI AG was 76.32. The lowest was -9.53. And the median was -2.74.


TUI AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TUI AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TUI AG Beneish M-Score Chart

TUI AG Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.22 -4.28 -2.22 -2.93 -2.84

TUI AG Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.72 -2.84 -2.92 -2.78

STU:TUI1 vs BKNG, ABNB, RCL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, TUI AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TUI AG Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TUI AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TUI AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.


STU:TUI1
68GF Score
TUI AG STU:TUI1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TUI AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TUI AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9524+0.528 * 0.9907+0.404 * 0.9687+0.892 * 1.0157+0.115 * 1.0353
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0337+4.679 * -0.061575-0.327 * 0.8956
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,373 Mil.
Revenue was 3701 + 4861.2 + 9402.6 + 6199.5 = €24,164 Mil.
Gross Profit was -33.2 + 255.5 + 1329.7 + 467.2 = €2,019 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,982 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,142 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,993 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €890 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €292 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,700 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,735 Mil.
Net Income was -281.8 + -43.6 + 844.3 + 183.1 = €702 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1043.7 + -1598.7 + 1022.9 + 1351.2 = €1,819 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,454 Mil.
Revenue was 3704.6 + 4872 + 9427.8 + 5787 = €23,791 Mil.
Gross Profit was -42.9 + 261.1 + 1377.5 + 373.8 = €1,970 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,665 Mil.
Total Assets was €17,491 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,688 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €885 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €279 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €10,212 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,098 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2373.4 / 24164.3) / (2453.6 / 23791.4)
=0.098219 / 0.10313
=0.9524

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1969.5 / 23791.4) / (2019.2 / 24164.3)
=0.082782 / 0.083561
=0.9907

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4982.2 + 6992.9) / 18142.1) / (1 - (4664.8 + 6688.2) / 17490.6)
=0.339928 / 0.350908
=0.9687

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24164.3 / 23791.4
=1.0157

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(884.7 / (884.7 + 6688.2)) / (889.5 / (889.5 + 6992.9))
=0.116824 / 0.112846
=1.0353

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(292.4 / 24164.3) / (278.5 / 23791.4)
=0.0121 / 0.011706
=1.0337

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1734.6 + 9700.4) / 18142.1) / ((2098 + 10212.1) / 17490.6)
=0.630302 / 0.703812
=0.8956

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(702 - 0 - 1819.1) / 18142.1
=-0.061575

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TUI AG has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
TUI AG (STU:TUI1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TUI AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, TUI AG ranks #296 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 35.9%.
Is TUI AG's Beneish M-Score too high?
TUI AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, TUI AG ranks #296 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, TUI AG has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TUI AG's Beneish M-Score compare to BKNG and ABNB?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, TUI AG ranks #296 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts TUI AG in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TUI AG and its competitors. TUI AG's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TUI AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TUI AG (STU:TUI1) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.16, compared to a current price of €7.69 — trading 7.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. TUI AG's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TUI AG (STU:TUI1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TUI AG (STU:TUI1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TUI AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €7.69 is trading 7.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.16. GuruFocus considers TUI AG to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for STU:TUI1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: €7.16 vs. price of €7.69 (7.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:TUI1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TUI AG Business Description

Address Karl-Wiechert-Allee 23, Hannover, SN, DEU, 30625
TUI AG provides integrated leisure travel services, including flights, hotels, cruises, and tour operations. The company offers tourism services, covering the entire customer experience from trip planning and booking to flights, transfers, and accommodations, including stays in hotels or on cruise ships. Its segments include The Hotels & Resorts, The Cruises, The TUI Musement, Markets + Airline, and Holiday Experiences segment, which comprises The Northern Region, The Central Region, and The Western Region. The majority of revenue is derived from the Hotels & Resorts segment, which is a diversified portfolio of the company's hotel brands and hotel companies.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:TUI1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€7.69
Price
€7.16
GF Value