Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co (SZSE:000708) Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (As of Aug. 07, 2026)

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SZSE:000708 Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Ltd SZSE:000708
85 GF Score
Price ¥13.89
GF Value ¥13.79
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Beneish M-Score?

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co SZSE:000708 -1.49% 85 Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates SZSE:000708 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥13.79 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co ranks better than 81.8% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000708' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.51   Med: -2.44   Max: 2.47
Current: -3.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co was 2.47. The lowest was -5.51. And the median was -2.44.


Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.82 -2.59 -2.34 -2.78 -2.91

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.61 -2.98 -2.91 -3.01

SZSE:000708 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SZSE:000708
85GF Score
Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Ltd SZSE:000708
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9198+0.528 * 0.8768+0.404 * 1.0022+0.892 * 0.9946+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9304+4.679 * -0.088731-0.327 * 0.9582
=-3.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥22,460 Mil.
Revenue was 26494.299 + 26167.439 + 26490.699 + 27875.496 = ¥107,028 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3823.884 + 4079.723 + 4096.662 + 4151.232 = ¥16,152 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥48,495 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥108,984 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥49,518 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥654 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥43,958 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥15,947 Mil.
Net Income was 1511.486 + 1598.36 + 1532.088 + 1414.429 = ¥6,056 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 144.738 + 5595.855 + 3762.876 + 6223.18 = ¥15,727 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥24,551 Mil.
Revenue was 26839.851 + 25699.102 + 26498.64 + 28576.413 = ¥107,614 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3708.878 + 3698.692 + 3315.907 + 3515.597 = ¥14,239 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥47,370 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥110,289 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥51,840 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥707 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥40,129 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥23,139 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(22459.647 / 107027.933) / (24550.59 / 107614.006)
=0.209848 / 0.228136
=0.9198

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14239.074 / 107614.006) / (16151.501 / 107027.933)
=0.132316 / 0.150909
=0.8768

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (48494.704 + 49517.963) / 108983.719) / (1 - (47370.487 + 51840.392) / 110289.254)
=0.100667 / 0.100448
=1.0022

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=107027.933 / 107614.006
=0.9946

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 51840.392)) / (0 / (0 + 49517.963))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(654.154 / 107027.933) / (706.924 / 107614.006)
=0.006112 / 0.006569
=0.9304

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15946.869 + 43958.331) / 108983.719) / ((23139.165 + 40128.511) / 110289.254)
=0.549671 / 0.573652
=0.9582

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6056.363 - 0 - 15726.649) / 108983.719
=-0.088731

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co has a M-score of -3.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 mean?
Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co (SZSE:000708) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.01 as of Aug. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co ranks #107 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 18.2%.
Is Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. Based on the distribution chart, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co ranks #107 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co ranks #107 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co and its competitors. Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co (SZSE:000708) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥13.79, compared to a current price of ¥13.89 — trading 0.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.01. Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co (SZSE:000708), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.01 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co (SZSE:000708) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥13.89 is trading 0.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥13.79. GuruFocus considers Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SZSE:000708:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.01
  • GF Value™: ¥13.79 vs. price of ¥13.89 (0.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SZSE:000708 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Business Description

Address No. 1 Changshan Avenue, Citic Special Steel Building, Jiangyin District, Jiangsu Province, Wuxi, CHN, 214422
Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co Ltd manufactures special steel, high-grade bearing steel, gear steel, spring steel, alloy tube billets, high-quality thick to medium seamless steel tubes, high-alloy steel, free-cutting and non-quenched/ tempered steel. The company is also engaged in scrap steel recycling, cargo loading and unloading within the port area, lighterage, warehousing, and others.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SZSE:000708

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥13.89
Price
¥13.79
GF Value