TONPF (Toppan Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.25 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TONPF Toppan Holdings Inc TONPF
73 GF Score
Price $29.99
GF Value $28.35
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Toppan Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Toppan Holdings TONPF 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TONPF with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.35 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 538 Conglomerates companies, Toppan Holdings ranks worse than 71.19% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toppan Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TONPF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.66   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.25
Current: -2.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toppan Holdings was -2.25. The lowest was -2.66. And the median was -2.55.


Toppan Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toppan Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toppan Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Toppan Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.65 -2.61 -2.67 -2.25

Toppan Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.25

TONPF vs HON, MMM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Toppan Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toppan Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Toppan Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toppan Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TONPF
73GF Score
Toppan Holdings Inc TONPF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toppan Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toppan Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0365+0.528 * 1.0227+0.404 * 1.4747+0.892 * 0.9861+0.115 * 0.9822
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9911+4.679 * -0.008334-0.327 * 1.0275
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,015 Mil.
Revenue was $11,375 Mil.
Gross Profit was $2,674 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,396 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,121 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,120 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $553 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $230 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,965 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,391 Mil.
Net Income was $408 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $543 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,950 Mil.
Revenue was $11,536 Mil.
Gross Profit was $2,773 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,439 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,873 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,166 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $548 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $236 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,521 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $954 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3015.004 / 11375.109) / (2949.886 / 11535.889)
=0.265053 / 0.255714
=1.0365

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2772.78 / 11535.889) / (2673.574 / 11375.109)
=0.240361 / 0.235037
=1.0227

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7396.169 + 4119.939) / 16121.379) / (1 - (9438.667 + 4166.168) / 16873.256)
=0.285662 / 0.193704
=1.4747

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11375.109 / 11535.889
=0.9861

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(547.896 / (547.896 + 4166.168)) / (552.984 / (552.984 + 4119.939))
=0.116226 / 0.118338
=0.9822

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(230.252 / 11375.109) / (235.6 / 11535.889)
=0.020242 / 0.020423
=0.9911

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2390.67 + 3965.48) / 16121.379) / ((954 + 5520.577) / 16873.256)
=0.394268 / 0.383718
=1.0275

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(408.368 - 0 - 542.731) / 16121.379
=-0.008334

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toppan Holdings has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.25 mean?
Toppan Holdings (TONPF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toppan Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toppan Holdings ranks #383 out of 538 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 71.2%.
Is Toppan Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Toppan Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. Based on the distribution chart, Toppan Holdings ranks #383 out of 538 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Toppan Holdings has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toppan Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Toppan Holdings ranks #383 out of 538 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Toppan Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toppan Holdings and its competitors. Toppan Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toppan Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toppan Holdings (TONPF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.35, compared to a current price of $29.99 — trading 5.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. Toppan Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toppan Holdings (TONPF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toppan Holdings (TONPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toppan Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $29.99 is trading 5.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $28.35. GuruFocus considers Toppan Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TONPF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.25
  • GF Value™: $28.35 vs. price of $29.99 (5.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TONPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toppan Holdings Business Description

Address 1-5-1 Taito, Taito-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 110-8560
Toppan Holdings Inc provides products and services geared toward printing technologies. Its product portfolio of printing technologies consists of in-store advertisements, books, magnetic cards, floor filters, wallpaper, flexible packaging, and other solutions. The company operates three business segments: information and communication (the majority of total revenue), electronics, and living and industry. Toppan Printing provides secure documents, such as credit cards, coupons, and business forms, and offers a mix of marketing materials to increase diversification. It utilizes sales promotion personnel, printing press operators, and research personnel to develop solutions for customers. Operations and sales are located in Japan.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TONPF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$29.99
Price
$28.35
GF Value