TOTO (TOTDF) Beneish M-Score: -2.63 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


TOTDF TOTO Ltd TOTDF
68 GF Score
Price $56.28
GF Value $26.78
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is TOTO Beneish M-Score?

TOTO TOTDF -3.95% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TOTDF with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $26.78 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,704 Construction companies, TOTO ranks better than 61.68% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TOTO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TOTDF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.32
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TOTO was -2.32. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.61.


TOTO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TOTO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TOTO Beneish M-Score Chart

TOTO Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.32 -2.59 -2.81 -2.63

TOTO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.63

TOTDF vs TT, JCI, CARR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, TOTO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TOTO Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, TOTO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TOTO's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TOTDF
68GF Score
TOTO Ltd TOTDF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TOTO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TOTO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9991+0.528 * 0.9849+0.404 * 1.0362+0.892 * 0.9562+0.115 * 1.0393
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.037442-0.327 * 1.0172
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $650 Mil.
Revenue was $4,647 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,655 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,345 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,215 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,689 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $217 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,502 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8 Mil.
Net Income was $254 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $449 Mil.
Total Receivables was $681 Mil.
Revenue was $4,860 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,704 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,513 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,460 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,754 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $235 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,548 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(650.304 / 4647.268) / (680.73 / 4860.229)
=0.139933 / 0.140061
=0.9991

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1704.495 / 4860.229) / (1654.742 / 4647.268)
=0.350703 / 0.356068
=0.9849

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2344.944 + 1688.533) / 5214.702) / (1 - (2512.921 + 1753.805) / 5460.466)
=0.226518 / 0.218615
=1.0362

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4647.268 / 4860.229
=0.9562

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(234.929 / (234.929 + 1753.805)) / (216.533 / (216.533 + 1688.533))
=0.11813 / 0.113662
=1.0393

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 4647.268) / (0 / 4860.229)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8.281 + 1502.319) / 5214.702) / ((6.816 + 1548.274) / 5460.466)
=0.289681 / 0.284791
=1.0172

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(253.695 - 0 - 448.946) / 5214.702
=-0.037442

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TOTO has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 mean?
TOTO (TOTDF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TOTO and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, TOTO ranks #653 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 38.3%.
Is TOTO's Beneish M-Score too high?
TOTO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Based on the distribution chart, TOTO ranks #653 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, TOTO has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TOTO's Beneish M-Score compare to TT and JCI?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, TOTO ranks #653 out of 1704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts TOTO in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TOTO and its competitors. TOTO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TOTO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOTO (TOTDF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $26.78, compared to a current price of $56.28 — trading 110.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. TOTO's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TOTO (TOTDF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TOTO (TOTDF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOTO stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $56.28 is trading 110.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $26.78. GuruFocus considers TOTO to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TOTDF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.63
  • GF Value™: $26.78 vs. price of $56.28 (110.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TOTDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TOTO Business Description

Other Exchanges TOTDY:USA5332:Japan
Address 2-1-1 Nakajima, Kokurakita Ward, Fukuoka Prefecture, Kitakyushu, JPN, 802-8601
TOTO Ltd manufactures and sells bathroom materials for maintenance, improvement, construction, and home improvement projects. The company's product portfolio includes toilets, urinals, sinks, plumbing accessories, bathtubs, unit bathrooms, faucets, drain fittings, marble counters, and electric water heaters, and others.. The firm organizes itself based on geography and operates through six business segments, which include the Japan Housing Equipment Business segment, the Mainland China Business segment, the Asia and Oceania Business segment, the Americas Business segment, the Europe Business segment, and the New field business - Ceramic business.. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Japan Housing Equipment Business segment.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TOTDF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$56.28
Price
$26.78
GF Value