Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TPE:8411 Kingcan Holdings Ltd TPE:8411
74 GF Score
Price NT$12.00
GF Value NT$13.53
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kingcan Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Kingcan Holdings TPE:8411 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:8411 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$13.53 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Kingcan Holdings ranks worse than 56.84% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kingcan Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:8411' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.62   Max: -1.02
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kingcan Holdings was -1.02. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.62.


Kingcan Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kingcan Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kingcan Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Kingcan Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.02 -3.26 -2.59 -2.63 -2.49

Kingcan Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.69 -2.63 -2.27 -2.49

TPE:8411 vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Kingcan Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kingcan Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kingcan Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kingcan Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:8411
74GF Score
Kingcan Holdings Ltd TPE:8411
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kingcan Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kingcan Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.891+0.528 * 1.3977+0.404 * 1.3544+0.892 * 1.026+0.115 * 0.9772
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9031+4.679 * -0.064055-0.327 * 0.9973
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$1,864 Mil.
Revenue was 2404.233 + 2433.48 + 2148.173 + 2201.038 = NT$9,187 Mil.
Gross Profit was 232.593 + 125.374 + 72.831 + 160.242 = NT$591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$5,596 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$13,351 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$7,504 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$483 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$595 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$4,734 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$2,394 Mil.
Net Income was 44.143 + -14.858 + -48.643 + -130.66 = NT$-150 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 33.044 + 460.77 + -64.767 + 276.132 = NT$705 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$2,040 Mil.
Revenue was 2479.083 + 2268.435 + 2176.996 + 2029.512 = NT$8,954 Mil.
Gross Profit was 243.143 + 234.56 + 138.326 + 189.101 = NT$805 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$5,351 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$13,398 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$7,860 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$494 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$642 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$4,867 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$2,305 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1864.468 / 9186.924) / (2039.613 / 8954.026)
=0.202948 / 0.227787
=0.891

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(805.13 / 8954.026) / (591.04 / 9186.924)
=0.089918 / 0.064335
=1.3977

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5596.211 + 7503.706) / 13351.012) / (1 - (5351.186 + 7860.397) / 13397.628)
=0.018807 / 0.013886
=1.3544

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9186.924 / 8954.026
=1.026

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(493.873 / (493.873 + 7860.397)) / (483.175 / (483.175 + 7503.706))
=0.059116 / 0.060496
=0.9772

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(594.649 / 9186.924) / (641.768 / 8954.026)
=0.064728 / 0.071674
=0.9031

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2393.892 + 4733.775) / 13351.012) / ((2305.182 + 4867.089) / 13397.628)
=0.533867 / 0.535339
=0.9973

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-150.018 - 0 - 705.179) / 13351.012
=-0.064055

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kingcan Holdings has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kingcan Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kingcan Holdings ranks #212 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 56.8%.
Is Kingcan Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Kingcan Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, Kingcan Holdings ranks #212 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kingcan Holdings has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kingcan Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Kingcan Holdings ranks #212 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kingcan Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kingcan Holdings and its competitors. Kingcan Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kingcan Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$13.53, compared to a current price of NT$12.00 — trading 11.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Kingcan Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kingcan Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$12.00 is trading 11.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$13.53. GuruFocus considers Kingcan Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:8411:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: NT$13.53 vs. price of NT$12.00 (11.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:8411 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kingcan Holdings Business Description

Address Oleander Way, 802 West Bay Road, PO Box 32052, Grand Pavilion Commercial Centre, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY1-1205
Kingcan Holdings Ltd is mainly engaged in the production and sales of various metal packaging cans and food cans. The main business of the Group is to engage in the manufacturing, sales and research and development of various metal packaging containers, as well as OEM for filling and canning. The company has presence in China, and Others. The company generates majority of revenue from China.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:8411

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$12.00
Price
NT$13.53
GF Value