Yamazaki Baking Co (TSE:2212) Beneish M-Score: -2.57 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:2212 Yamazaki Baking Co Ltd TSE:2212
82 GF Score
Price 円3,337.00
GF Value 円3,388.21
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Yamazaki Baking Co Beneish M-Score?

Yamazaki Baking Co TSE:2212 +2.52% 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2212 with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,388.21 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Yamazaki Baking Co ranks better than 54.24% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2212' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.81   Med: -2.67   Max: -2.57
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Yamazaki Baking Co was -2.57. The lowest was -2.81. And the median was -2.67.


Yamazaki Baking Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Yamazaki Baking Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Yamazaki Baking Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.62 -2.66 -2.62 -2.57

Yamazaki Baking Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.57 0.00

TSE:2212 vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yamazaki Baking Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2212
82GF Score
Yamazaki Baking Co Ltd TSE:2212
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Yamazaki Baking Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Yamazaki Baking Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0076+0.528 * 0.9969+0.404 * 1.0956+0.892 * 1.0538+0.115 * 0.9956
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.040753-0.327 * 0.9624
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円149,740 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,311,430 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円428,404 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円365,470 Mil.
Total Assets was 円931,878 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円371,564 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円45,295 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円274,156 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円44,110 Mil.
Net Income was 円40,893 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円78,870 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円141,031 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,244,488 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円405,255 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円341,404 Mil.
Total Assets was 円865,105 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円358,597 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円43,497 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円269,953 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円37,066 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(149740 / 1311430) / (141031 / 1244488)
=0.114181 / 0.113325
=1.0076

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(405255 / 1244488) / (428404 / 1311430)
=0.32564 / 0.326669
=0.9969

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (365470 + 371564) / 931878) / (1 - (341404 + 358597) / 865105)
=0.209087 / 0.190849
=1.0956

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1311430 / 1244488
=1.0538

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(43497 / (43497 + 358597)) / (45295 / (45295 + 371564))
=0.108176 / 0.108658
=0.9956

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1311430) / (0 / 1244488)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((44110 + 274156) / 931878) / ((37066 + 269953) / 865105)
=0.341532 / 0.354892
=0.9624

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(40893 - 0 - 78870) / 931878
=-0.040753

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Yamazaki Baking Co has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 mean?
Yamazaki Baking Co (TSE:2212) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yamazaki Baking Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Yamazaki Baking Co ranks #847 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 45.8%.
Is Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Yamazaki Baking Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Based on the distribution chart, Yamazaki Baking Co ranks #847 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Yamazaki Baking Co has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Yamazaki Baking Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Yamazaki Baking Co ranks #847 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Yamazaki Baking Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yamazaki Baking Co and its competitors. Yamazaki Baking Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Yamazaki Baking Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yamazaki Baking Co (TSE:2212) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,388.21, compared to a current price of 円3,337.00 — trading 1.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Yamazaki Baking Co's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Yamazaki Baking Co (TSE:2212), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Yamazaki Baking Co (TSE:2212) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yamazaki Baking Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円3,337.00 is trading 1.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,388.21. GuruFocus considers Yamazaki Baking Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2212:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.57
  • GF Value™: 円3,388.21 vs. price of 円3,337.00 (1.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2212 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Yamazaki Baking Co Business Description

Address 3-10-1 Iwamotocho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-8585
Yamazaki Baking Co Ltd is a Japan-based company specializing in the production of baked goods, including bread, pastries, and cakes. The company operates through Food, Distribution, and Other segments. The Food segment produces bread, confectionery, and bakery products, selling to retailers and running bakery cafes in Japan and abroad. The Distribution segment manages convenience stores and food supermarkets. The Others segment handles logistics, food plant design and construction, non-life insurance agency services, and the production of cleaning agents for baking equipment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Food business segment.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2212

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,337.00
Price
円3,388.21
GF Value