Iwatsuka Confectionery Co (TSE:2221) Beneish M-Score: -2.46 (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

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TSE:2221 Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Ltd TSE:2221
67 GF Score
Price 円3,060.00
GF Value 円3,281.51
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Beneish M-Score?

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co TSE:2221 -0.33% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.46 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2221 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,281.51 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co ranks worse than 55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2221' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.5   Max: -2.15
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Iwatsuka Confectionery Co was -2.15. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.50.


Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.15 -2.59 -2.22 -2.59 -2.46

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.22 0.00 -2.59 0.00 -2.46

TSE:2221 vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2221
67GF Score
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Ltd TSE:2221
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Iwatsuka Confectionery Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8627+0.528 * 1.0976+0.404 * 0.9931+0.892 * 1.1561+0.115 * 0.9718
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.01118-0.327 * 0.9632
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円5,974 Mil.
Revenue was 円28,849 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,326 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,317 Mil.
Total Assets was 円93,056 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円15,814 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,722 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,726 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円2,032 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円3,073 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円5,990 Mil.
Revenue was 円24,954 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,956 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,113 Mil.
Total Assets was 円91,105 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,986 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,581 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,800 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5974.21 / 28848.672) / (5990.43 / 24954.321)
=0.207088 / 0.240056
=0.8627

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6955.599 / 24954.321) / (7325.99 / 28848.672)
=0.278733 / 0.253945
=1.0976

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12316.508 + 15814.061) / 93055.727) / (1 - (12112.581 + 14986.222) / 91104.718)
=0.697702 / 0.702553
=0.9931

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=28848.672 / 24954.321
=1.1561

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1581.168 / (1581.168 + 14986.222)) / (1722.132 / (1722.132 + 15814.061))
=0.095439 / 0.098204
=0.9718

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 28848.672) / (0 / 24954.321)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 4726.171) / 93055.727) / ((4.4 + 4799.66) / 91104.718)
=0.050789 / 0.052731
=0.9632

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2032.337 - 0 - 3072.722) / 93055.727
=-0.01118

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.46 mean?
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co (TSE:2221) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.46 as of Jul. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Iwatsuka Confectionery Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co ranks #1018 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 55%.
Is Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.46. Based on the distribution chart, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co ranks #1018 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MDLZ and HSY?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co ranks #1018 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Iwatsuka Confectionery Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Iwatsuka Confectionery Co and its competitors. Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Iwatsuka Confectionery Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co (TSE:2221) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,281.51, compared to a current price of 円3,060.00 — trading 6.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.46. Iwatsuka Confectionery Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Iwatsuka Confectionery Co (TSE:2221), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.46 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Iwatsuka Confectionery Co (TSE:2221) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Iwatsuka Confectionery Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円3,060.00 is trading 6.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,281.51. GuruFocus considers Iwatsuka Confectionery Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2221:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.46
  • GF Value™: 円3,281.51 vs. price of 円3,060.00 (6.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2221 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Business Description

Address 9750 Ura, Niigata Prefecture, Nagaoka, JPN, 949-5492
Iwatsuka Confectionery Co Ltd manufactures and sells rice crackers. It a Japanese firm. Its products include black bean rice crackers, pinch black pepper shrimp, cake flour, wet rice crackers and rice crackers for babies.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2221

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,060.00
Price
円3,281.51
GF Value