GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » Asahi Group Holdings Ltd (TSE:2502) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Beneish M-Score : -2.50 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1949. Start your Free Trial

What is Asahi Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2502' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.67   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Asahi Group Holdings was -2.17. The lowest was -2.67. And the median was -2.54.


Asahi Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asahi Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Asahi Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.67 -2.63 -2.49 -2.50

Asahi Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.43 -2.49 -2.51 -2.50

Competitive Comparison of Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Asahi Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Asahi Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0158+0.528 * 1.0176+0.404 * 0.9959+0.892 * 1.1027+0.115 * 1.0081
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9834+4.679 * -0.03471-0.327 * 0.9222
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円465,633 Mil.
Revenue was 746087 + 770004 + 696664 + 556335 = 円2,769,090 Mil.
Gross Profit was 261254 + 289820 + 255520 + 192338 = 円998,932 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円846,953 Mil.
Total Assets was 円5,285,913 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円888,070 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円147,992 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円735,252 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,396,950 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,020,950 Mil.
Net Income was 31039 + 67235 + 45828 + 19969 = 円164,071 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 92976 + 159627 + 143638 + -48694 = 円347,547 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円415,676 Mil.
Revenue was 661164 + 698604 + 654476 + 496863 = 円2,511,107 Mil.
Gross Profit was 241449 + 258715 + 243872 + 177797 = 円921,833 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円737,529 Mil.
Total Assets was 円4,830,344 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円834,721 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円140,419 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円678,016 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,265,946 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,130,042 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(465633 / 2769090) / (415676 / 2511107)
=0.168154 / 0.165535
=1.0158

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(921833 / 2511107) / (998932 / 2769090)
=0.367102 / 0.360744
=1.0176

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (846953 + 888070) / 5285913) / (1 - (737529 + 834721) / 4830344)
=0.671765 / 0.674506
=0.9959

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2769090 / 2511107
=1.1027

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(140419 / (140419 + 834721)) / (147992 / (147992 + 888070))
=0.143999 / 0.142841
=1.0081

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(735252 / 2769090) / (678016 / 2511107)
=0.265521 / 0.270007
=0.9834

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1020950 + 1396950) / 5285913) / ((1130042 + 1265946) / 4830344)
=0.457423 / 0.496028
=0.9222

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(164071 - 0 - 347547) / 5285913
=-0.03471

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Asahi Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Asahi Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Asahi Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-23-1, Azumabashi, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 130-8602
Asahi is a leading brewer in Japan with an estimated 36.5% market share by volume in Japan's beer and beer-like market, led by its Asahi Super Dry beer brand. It also operates a wide range of acholic and soft beverage products as well as packaged foods, mainly in Japan. It has made inroads into Europe through acquisitions of SABMiller's brands including Peroni and Pilsner Urquell in Western and Central Europe in 2016 and 2017. The acquisition of Carlton United Breweries has granted Asahi the leading market share in Australia's beer market with Great Northern the leading brand. East Asia including China and Southeast Asia are the other overseas markets where Asahi is growing. Overseas business represents nearly half of the group sales and 60% of business profits.

Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Headlines

No Headlines