Asahi Group HoldingsTSE:2502 +0.58%74 Altman Z2-Score is 1.38 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 7% above its 10-year median of 1.29. GuruFocus rates TSE:2502 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,973.54 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 210 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Asahi Group Holdings ranks worse than 79.05% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Asahi Group Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.38, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Asahi Group Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
TSE:2502'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.11 Med: 1.29 Max: 2.1
Current: 1.38
During the past 13 years, Asahi Group Holdings's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.10. The lowest was -1.11. And the median was 1.29.
Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Asahi Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
Asahi Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
TSE:2502 vs BUD, STZ, TAP: Altman Z2-Score Comparison
For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Asahi Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
Asahi Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
-0.1284
+
3.26
*
0.2591
+
6.72
*
0.0459
+
1.05
*
1.0178
=
1.38
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.38 as of Jul. 04, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.29. According to the industry distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #166 out of 210 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 79%.
Is Asahi Group Holdings' Altman Z2-Score too high?
Asahi Group Holdings' current Altman Z2-Score of 1.38 is near median its 10-year median of 1.29. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.83. Asahi Group Holdings' value of 1.38 is 63.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #166 out of 210 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Asahi Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Asahi Group Holdings' Altman Z2-Score compare to BUD and STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #166 out of 210 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Asahi Group Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.83. Asahi Group Holdings' value of 1.38 is 63.9% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 1.29 vs. the industry median of 3.83, Asahi Group Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 3.83, based on 210 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Asahi Group Holdings's current Altman Z2-Score of 1.38 is 63.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Asahi Group Holdings's current Altman Z2-Score is 1.38, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Asahi Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,973.54, compared to a current price of 円1,553.00 — trading 21.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 1.38, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.29 and 63.9% below the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 3.83. Asahi Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502), the current Altman Z2-Score is 1.38 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of 円1,553.00 is trading 21.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,973.54.
GuruFocus considers Asahi Group Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TSE:2502:
Altman Z2-Score: 1.38 (near median its 10-year median of 1.29)
GF Value™: 円1,973.54 vs. price of 円1,553.00 (21.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 63.9% below the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#166 of 210)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2502 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Asahi is the largest brewer in Japan with a nearly 40% market share, led by its Asahi Super Dry brand. It also operates a wide range of alcoholic and soft beverage products as well as packaged foods, mainly in Japan. Overseas markets accounted for over half of the company's revenue and close to 60% of operating profit, with Australia and Europe being two major markets. It acquired SABMiller's brands including Peroni and Pilsner Urquell in Western and Central Europe in 2016 and 2017 from Anheuser-Busch InBev. In Australia, Asahi holds market leaderships across beer and soft drinks segments, through its acquisitions of Schweppes Australia in 2009 and Carlton & United Breweries in 2020.
74GF Score
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