TOCALO Co (TSE:3433) Beneish M-Score: -2.21 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:3433 TOCALO Co Ltd TSE:3433
91 GF Score
Price 円3,280.00
GF Value 円2,212.31
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is TOCALO Co Beneish M-Score?

TOCALO Co TSE:3433 -1.65% 91 Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3433 with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,212.31 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, TOCALO Co ranks worse than 72.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3433' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.93   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TOCALO Co was -2.17. The lowest was -2.93. And the median was -2.57.


TOCALO Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TOCALO Co Beneish M-Score Chart

TOCALO Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.59 -2.50 -2.17 -2.21

TOCALO Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.21

TSE:3433 vs CTAS, CPRT, GPN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TOCALO Co Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3433
91GF Score
TOCALO Co Ltd TSE:3433
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TOCALO Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TOCALO Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0578+0.528 * 0.9672+0.404 * 1.0124+0.892 * 1.0785+0.115 * 1.0084
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9436+4.679 * 0.025882-0.327 * 0.9304
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円16,858 Mil.
Revenue was 円58,490 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円22,577 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円40,875 Mil.
Total Assets was 円89,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円43,686 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,817 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円749 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,260 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,396 Mil.
Net Income was 円10,060 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円7,749 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円14,776 Mil.
Revenue was 円54,231 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円20,246 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円39,960 Mil.
Total Assets was 円81,683 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円37,449 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,302 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円736 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円13,506 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,888 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(16858 / 58490) / (14776 / 54231)
=0.28822 / 0.272464
=1.0578

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20246 / 54231) / (22577 / 58490)
=0.373329 / 0.385998
=0.9672

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (40875 + 43686) / 89291) / (1 - (39960 + 37449) / 81683)
=0.052973 / 0.052324
=1.0124

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=58490 / 54231
=1.0785

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3302 / (3302 + 37449)) / (3817 / (3817 + 43686))
=0.081029 / 0.080353
=1.0084

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(749 / 58490) / (736 / 54231)
=0.012806 / 0.013572
=0.9436

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5396 + 10260) / 89291) / ((1888 + 13506) / 81683)
=0.175337 / 0.18846
=0.9304

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10060 - 0 - 7749) / 89291
=0.025882

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TOCALO Co has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 mean?
TOCALO Co (TSE:3433) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TOCALO Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, TOCALO Co ranks #738 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 72.4%.
Is TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
TOCALO Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. Based on the distribution chart, TOCALO Co ranks #738 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, TOCALO Co has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TOCALO Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CTAS and CPRT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, TOCALO Co ranks #738 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places TOCALO Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TOCALO Co and its competitors. TOCALO Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TOCALO Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOCALO Co (TSE:3433) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,212.31, compared to a current price of 円3,280.00 — trading 48.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. TOCALO Co's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TOCALO Co (TSE:3433), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TOCALO Co (TSE:3433) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TOCALO Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,280.00 is trading 48.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,212.31. GuruFocus considers TOCALO Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3433:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.21
  • GF Value™: 円2,212.31 vs. price of 円3,280.00 (48.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3433 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TOCALO Co Business Description

Address 4-13-4, Fukaekita-Machi, Higashinada-Ku, Kobe, JPN, 658-0013
TOCALO Co Ltd develops surface modifying technologies in Japan and internationally. The company produces various functional coatings through thermal spraying technology, including vacuum plasma, atmospheric plasma, electric arc, and high-velocity oxy-fuel spraying, as well as powder, rod, and wire flame spraying processes. It also provides peripheral surface technologies, such as WIN KOTE, CDC-ZAC, and Lite Force coatings; and TD, PTA, and PVD processes.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3433

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,280.00
Price
円2,212.31
GF Value