Ichikawa Co (TSE:3513) Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


TSE:3513 Ichikawa Co Ltd TSE:3513
56 GF Score
Price 円3,110.00
GF Value 円1,956.07
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score?

Ichikawa Co TSE:3513 +1.30% 56 Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3513 with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,956.07 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Ichikawa Co ranks worse than 56.04% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3513' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.45
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ichikawa Co was -2.45. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.66.


Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Ichikawa Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.71 -2.54 -2.45 -2.48

Ichikawa Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.48

Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3513
56GF Score
Ichikawa Co Ltd TSE:3513
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ichikawa Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ichikawa Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0087+0.528 * 0.9491+0.404 * 1.2042+0.892 * 1.0605+0.115 * 1.0404
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.021479-0.327 * 1.0553
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円5,188 Mil.
Revenue was 円14,791 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,721 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円15,357 Mil.
Total Assets was 円32,078 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円8,820 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円972 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,886 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円97 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,173 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,862 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円4,850 Mil.
Revenue was 円13,947 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,015 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円14,991 Mil.
Total Assets was 円29,466 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円8,448 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円973 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,425 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円42 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5188 / 14791) / (4850 / 13947)
=0.350754 / 0.347745
=1.0087

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6015 / 13947) / (6721 / 14791)
=0.431276 / 0.454398
=0.9491

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (15357 + 8820) / 32078) / (1 - (14991 + 8448) / 29466)
=0.246306 / 0.204541
=1.2042

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14791 / 13947
=1.0605

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(973 / (973 + 8448)) / (972 / (972 + 8820))
=0.10328 / 0.099265
=1.0404

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 14791) / (0 / 13947)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((97 + 3886) / 32078) / ((42 + 3425) / 29466)
=0.124166 / 0.117661
=1.0553

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1173 - 0 - 1862) / 32078
=-0.021479

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ichikawa Co has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 mean?
Ichikawa Co (TSE:3513) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ichikawa Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ichikawa Co ranks #153 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 56%.
Is Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ichikawa Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Based on the distribution chart, Ichikawa Co ranks #153 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Ichikawa Co has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ichikawa Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Ichikawa Co ranks #153 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Ichikawa Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ichikawa Co and its competitors. Ichikawa Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ichikawa Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ichikawa Co (TSE:3513) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,956.07, compared to a current price of 円3,110.00 — trading 59% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Ichikawa Co's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ichikawa Co (TSE:3513), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ichikawa Co (TSE:3513) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ichikawa Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,110.00 is trading 59% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,956.07. GuruFocus considers Ichikawa Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3513:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.48
  • GF Value™: 円1,956.07 vs. price of 円3,110.00 (59% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3513 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ichikawa Co Business Description

Address 2-14-15 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Hongo 2, Tokyo, JPN, 113-8442
Ichikawa Co Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and distribution of papermaking felts, papermaking belts, felts for slate and industrial felts in Japan. It offers papermaking press felts and belts, and shoe press and transfer belts; industrial products, such as heat-resistant conveyance equipment and cushioning material for use in the manufacture of car bodies, aluminum parts, and others.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3513

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,110.00
Price
円1,956.07
GF Value