Mitsubishi Paper Mills (TSE:3864) Beneish M-Score: -2.45 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:3864 Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd TSE:3864
43 GF Score
Price 円1,039.00
GF Value 円510.09
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score?

Mitsubishi Paper Mills TSE:3864 +0.48% 43 Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3864 with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of 円510.09 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Mitsubishi Paper Mills ranks worse than 57.88% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mitsubishi Paper Mills's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3864' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mitsubishi Paper Mills was -2.08. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.61.


Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mitsubishi Paper Mills's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score Chart

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.08 -2.27 -2.43 -2.66 -2.45

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.45

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Mitsubishi Paper Mills's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Mitsubishi Paper Mills's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mitsubishi Paper Mills's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3864
43GF Score
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd TSE:3864
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mitsubishi Paper Mills for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9093+0.528 * 1.1123+0.404 * 1.4041+0.892 * 0.8949+0.115 * 1.1263
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.014916-0.327 * 0.8751
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円32,284 Mil.
Revenue was 円157,455 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円20,244 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円81,961 Mil.
Total Assets was 円222,776 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円65,668 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円5,521 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円82,286 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円19,750 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,900 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円5,223 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円39,672 Mil.
Revenue was 円175,942 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円25,162 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円91,512 Mil.
Total Assets was 円208,217 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円66,684 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,382 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円88,882 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円20,091 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(32284 / 157455) / (39672 / 175942)
=0.205036 / 0.225483
=0.9093

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25162 / 175942) / (20244 / 157455)
=0.143013 / 0.12857
=1.1123

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (81961 + 65668) / 222776) / (1 - (91512 + 66684) / 208217)
=0.337321 / 0.240235
=1.4041

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=157455 / 175942
=0.8949

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6382 / (6382 + 66684)) / (5521 / (5521 + 65668))
=0.087346 / 0.077554
=1.1263

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 157455) / (0 / 175942)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((19750 + 82286) / 222776) / ((20091 + 88882) / 208217)
=0.458021 / 0.523363
=0.8751

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1900 - 0 - 5223) / 222776
=-0.014916

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mitsubishi Paper Mills has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 mean?
Mitsubishi Paper Mills (TSE:3864) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mitsubishi Paper Mills and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mitsubishi Paper Mills ranks #158 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 57.9%.
Is Mitsubishi Paper Mills' Beneish M-Score too high?
Mitsubishi Paper Mills' current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Based on the distribution chart, Mitsubishi Paper Mills ranks #158 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Mitsubishi Paper Mills has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mitsubishi Paper Mills' Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Mitsubishi Paper Mills ranks #158 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Mitsubishi Paper Mills in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mitsubishi Paper Mills and its competitors. Mitsubishi Paper Mills's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mitsubishi Paper Mills stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mitsubishi Paper Mills (TSE:3864) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円510.09, compared to a current price of 円1,039.00 — trading 103.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Mitsubishi Paper Mills' overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mitsubishi Paper Mills (TSE:3864), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mitsubishi Paper Mills (TSE:3864) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mitsubishi Paper Mills stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,039.00 is trading 103.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円510.09. GuruFocus considers Mitsubishi Paper Mills to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3864:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.45
  • GF Value™: 円510.09 vs. price of 円1,039.00 (103.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3864 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mitsubishi Paper Mills Business Description

Address 2-10-14 Ryogoku, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 130-0026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd is a paper and paper manufacturing company. The company manufactures printing paper, printing plate materials and printing systems supporting offset and other printing. Its segments consist of Paper and Pulp, Imaging Media, Speciality Materials and Warehouse and Transportation. The company generates maximum revenue from the Paper and Pulp segment. Its offers graphic arts material; photographic materials; inkjet media; thermo memory; battery separator; air filter and others. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Japan and also has a presence in Europe; Asia; North America and Other Countries.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3864

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,039.00
Price
円510.09
GF Value