Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) Beneish M-Score: -2.37 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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TSE:3877 Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Ltd TSE:3877
65 GF Score
Price 円2,083.00
GF Value 円1,662.47
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score?

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co TSE:3877 -0.05% 65 Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3877 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,662.47 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 272 Forest Products companies, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co ranks worse than 63.6% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3877' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co was -2.18. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.69.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.18 -2.88 -2.85 -2.37

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 0.00 -2.85 0.00 -2.37

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3877
65GF Score
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Ltd TSE:3877
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0519+0.528 * 1.1373+0.404 * 1.1393+0.892 * 0.9944+0.115 * 0.974
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0078+4.679 * -0.018734-0.327 * 0.9133
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円27,290 Mil.
Revenue was 円110,386 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円14,950 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円51,586 Mil.
Total Assets was 円119,086 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円49,265 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,147 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,691 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円42,668 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円11,458 Mil.
Net Income was 円2,440 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円4,671 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円26,090 Mil.
Revenue was 円111,009 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円17,098 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円54,612 Mil.
Total Assets was 円121,888 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円50,894 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,672 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円52,103 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円8,559 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27290 / 110386) / (26090 / 111009)
=0.247223 / 0.235026
=1.0519

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17098 / 111009) / (14950 / 110386)
=0.154024 / 0.135434
=1.1373

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (51586 + 49265) / 119086) / (1 - (54612 + 50894) / 121888)
=0.153125 / 0.134402
=1.1393

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=110386 / 111009
=0.9944

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6165 / (6165 + 50894)) / (6147 / (6147 + 49265))
=0.108046 / 0.110933
=0.974

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8691 / 110386) / (8672 / 111009)
=0.078733 / 0.07812
=1.0078

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11458 + 42668) / 119086) / ((8559 + 52103) / 121888)
=0.454512 / 0.497686
=0.9133

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2440 - 0 - 4671) / 119086
=-0.018734

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 mean?
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co ranks #173 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 63.6%.
Is Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Based on the distribution chart, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co ranks #173 out of 272 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co ranks #173 out of 272 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co and its competitors. Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,662.47, compared to a current price of 円2,083.00 — trading 25.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,083.00 is trading 25.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,662.47. GuruFocus considers Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3877:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.37
  • GF Value™: 円1,662.47 vs. price of 円2,083.00 (25.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3877 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Business Description

Address 282 Yoneshima, Toyama Prefecture, Takaoka, JPN, 933-8533
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, processing, and trading of pulp, paper, and by-products; forestry, lumber, and wood processing, trading, and construction of greening projects; manufacturing, processing, and trading of chemicals; real estate sales, rental, management, and brokerage, and management of sports facilities; mining, electricity supply, transportation, warehousing.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3877

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,083.00
Price
円1,662.47
GF Value