Nippon Soda Co (TSE:4041) Beneish M-Score: -2.57 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:4041 Nippon Soda Co Ltd TSE:4041
75 GF Score
Price 円3,580.00
GF Value 円2,840.63
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nippon Soda Co Beneish M-Score?

Nippon Soda Co TSE:4041 +0.70% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4041 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,840.63 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,530 Chemicals companies, Nippon Soda Co ranks better than 54.9% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4041' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.34   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nippon Soda Co was -2.08. The lowest was -3.34. And the median was -2.54.


Nippon Soda Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nippon Soda Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Nippon Soda Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.51 -2.08 -2.73 -2.57

Nippon Soda Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.57

TSE:4041 vs DOW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Soda Co Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:4041
75GF Score
Nippon Soda Co Ltd TSE:4041
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nippon Soda Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nippon Soda Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.888+0.528 * 0.978+0.404 * 1.1425+0.892 * 0.98+0.115 * 1.023
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.010813-0.327 * 0.9067
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円39,972 Mil.
Revenue was 円152,091 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円45,026 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円125,328 Mil.
Total Assets was 円307,305 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円78,109 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,178 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円48,778 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円33,653 Mil.
Net Income was 円18,271 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円21,594 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円45,935 Mil.
Revenue was 円155,199 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円44,934 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円129,643 Mil.
Total Assets was 円288,097 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円73,224 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,862 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円61,910 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円23,325 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(39972 / 152091) / (45935 / 155199)
=0.262816 / 0.295975
=0.888

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(44934 / 155199) / (45026 / 152091)
=0.289525 / 0.296046
=0.978

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (125328 + 78109) / 307305) / (1 - (129643 + 73224) / 288097)
=0.337996 / 0.295838
=1.1425

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=152091 / 155199
=0.98

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7862 / (7862 + 73224)) / (8178 / (8178 + 78109))
=0.096959 / 0.094777
=1.023

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 152091) / (0 / 155199)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((33653 + 48778) / 307305) / ((23325 + 61910) / 288097)
=0.268238 / 0.295855
=0.9067

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(18271 - 0 - 21594) / 307305
=-0.010813

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nippon Soda Co has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 mean?
Nippon Soda Co (TSE:4041) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Soda Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nippon Soda Co ranks #690 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 45.1%.
Is Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nippon Soda Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Based on the distribution chart, Nippon Soda Co ranks #690 out of 1530 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nippon Soda Co has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nippon Soda Co's Beneish M-Score compare to DOW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Nippon Soda Co ranks #690 out of 1530 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Nippon Soda Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nippon Soda Co and its competitors. Nippon Soda Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nippon Soda Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Soda Co (TSE:4041) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,840.63, compared to a current price of 円3,580.00 — trading 26% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Nippon Soda Co's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nippon Soda Co (TSE:4041), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nippon Soda Co (TSE:4041) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nippon Soda Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,580.00 is trading 26% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,840.63. GuruFocus considers Nippon Soda Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4041:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.57
  • GF Value™: 円2,840.63 vs. price of 円3,580.00 (26% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4041 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nippon Soda Co Business Description

Address 2-2-1, Ohtemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8165
Nippon Soda Co Ltd manufactures and sells chemical products and operates in three major and three minor segments. The chemicals segment sells caustic soda, sodium derivatives, and specialty chemicals, which are used to make household cleaning products and pharmaceuticals. The agrochemicals segment sells pesticides, fungicides, and herbicides to the agricultural industry. The trading segment offers chemicals, synthetic resins, and industrial machineries and devices. The company generates additional revenue from its minor segments: transportation, warehousing, and construction services. These segments are engaged in the transportation and warehousing of chemical products, as well as in plant construction and civil engineering services.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4041

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,580.00
Price
円2,840.63
GF Value