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Toagosei Co (TSE:4045) Beneish M-Score : -2.57 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Toagosei Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4045' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.38
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toagosei Co was -2.38. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.59.


Toagosei Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toagosei Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toagosei Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.78 -2.45 -2.38 -2.57

Toagosei Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.57 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toagosei Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Toagosei Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toagosei Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0345+0.528 * 1.0285+0.404 * 1.1256+0.892 * 0.991+0.115 * 1.0391
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0203+4.679 * -0.034739-0.327 * 1.0482
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円51,102 Mil.
Revenue was 円159,371 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円41,367 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円134,860 Mil.
Total Assets was 円272,285 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円96,532 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円10,656 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円28,866 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円41,480 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円9,672 Mil.
Net Income was 円12,179 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円21,638 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円49,848 Mil.
Revenue was 円160,825 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円42,933 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円138,985 Mil.
Total Assets was 円265,135 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円90,774 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円10,457 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円28,550 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円37,792 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円9,727 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(51102 / 159371) / (49848 / 160825)
=0.320648 / 0.309952
=1.0345

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(42933 / 160825) / (41367 / 159371)
=0.266955 / 0.259564
=1.0285

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (134860 + 96532) / 272285) / (1 - (138985 + 90774) / 265135)
=0.150185 / 0.133426
=1.1256

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=159371 / 160825
=0.991

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10457 / (10457 + 90774)) / (10656 / (10656 + 96532))
=0.103298 / 0.099414
=1.0391

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(28866 / 159371) / (28550 / 160825)
=0.181125 / 0.177522
=1.0203

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9672 + 41480) / 272285) / ((9727 + 37792) / 265135)
=0.187862 / 0.179226
=1.0482

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12179 - 0 - 21638) / 272285
=-0.034739

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toagosei Co has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Toagosei Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Toagosei Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-14-1 Nishi Shinbashi, Minatoku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-8419
Toagosei Co Ltd manufactures and sells a variety of chemicals and chemical-based products. The firm organizes itself into four segments based on product type. The acrylic products segment, which generates more revenue than any other segment, sells acrylate esters, acrylic polymers, and UV-curable resins, which are used in paints, textiles and cosmetics, and electronics. The commodity chemicals segment sells caustic soda, sulfuric acid, and sodium hypochlorite, which are used to make paper, fertilizers, and water treatment products. The specialty chemicals segment sells adhesives, electronic materials, and construction materials. The plastics segment sells piping equipment and nursing care products. The majority of revenue comes from Japan.

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