Welby (TSE:4438) Beneish M-Score: -4.05 (As of Jul. 12, 2026)


TSE:4438 Welby Inc TSE:4438
36 GF Score
Price 円253.00
GF Value 円378.19
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Welby Beneish M-Score?

Welby TSE:4438 +2.43% 36 Beneish M-Score is -4.05 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4438 with a GF Score™ of 36/100 and a GF Value™ of 円378.19 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 630 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Welby ranks better than 93.65% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Welby's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4438' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.05   Med: -2.95   Max: 0.21
Current: -4.05

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Welby was 0.21. The lowest was -4.05. And the median was -2.95.


Welby Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Welby's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Welby Beneish M-Score Chart

Welby Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 -1.73 -4.00 -3.55 -4.05

Welby Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.05 0.00

TSE:4438 vs VEEV, BTSG, TEM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Welby's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Welby Beneish M-Score vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Welby's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Welby's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:4438
36GF Score
Welby Inc TSE:4438
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Welby Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Welby for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6403+0.528 * 1.0194+0.404 * 1.0047+0.892 * 1.2039+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.199392-0.327 * 2.5177
=-4.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円141.0 Mil.
Revenue was 円635.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円448.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円878.2 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,054.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円29.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円359.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円388.2 Mil.
Net Income was 円-539.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-329.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円182.9 Mil.
Revenue was 円528.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円379.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円973.3 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,167.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円22.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円328.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(141.015 / 635.724) / (182.93 / 528.043)
=0.221818 / 0.34643
=0.6403

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(379.916 / 528.043) / (448.667 / 635.724)
=0.719479 / 0.705758
=1.0194

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (878.225 + 0) / 1054.209) / (1 - (973.295 + 0) / 1167.243)
=0.166935 / 0.166159
=1.0047

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=635.724 / 528.043
=1.2039

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22.558 / (22.558 + 0)) / (29.257 / (29.257 + 0))
=1 / 1
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 635.724) / (0 / 528.043)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((388.197 + 359.691) / 1054.209) / ((0 + 328.903) / 1167.243)
=0.70943 / 0.281778
=2.5177

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-539.687 - 0 - -329.486) / 1054.209
=-0.199392

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Welby has a M-score of -4.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.05 mean?
Welby (TSE:4438) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.05 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Welby and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Welby ranks #40 out of 630 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 6.3%.
Is Welby's Beneish M-Score too high?
Welby's current Beneish M-Score is -4.05. Based on the distribution chart, Welby ranks #40 out of 630 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Welby has a GF Score™ of 36/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Welby's Beneish M-Score compare to VEEV and BTSG?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Welby ranks #40 out of 630 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Welby in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Healthcare Providers & Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Welby and its competitors. Welby's current Beneish M-Score is -4.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Welby stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Welby (TSE:4438) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円378.19, compared to a current price of 円253.00 — trading 33.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.05. Welby's overall GF Score™ is 36/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Welby (TSE:4438), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.05 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Welby (TSE:4438) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Welby stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円253.00 is trading 33.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円378.19. GuruFocus considers Welby to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4438:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.05
  • GF Value™: 円378.19 vs. price of 円253.00 (33.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 36/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4438 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Welby Business Description

Address 1-11-1 Kyobashi, 4th Floor, KEPCO Real Estate Yaesu Building, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0031
Welby Inc offers patients and their families digital tools helping medical treatment and prevention of the progression of disease. The company co-develops and co-provides digital services with pharmaceuticals, medical device companies, governments, along with patients and healthcare professionals.
36GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4438

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円253.00
Price
円378.19
GF Value