OAT Agrio Co (TSE:4979) Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:4979 OAT Agrio Co Ltd TSE:4979
71 GF Score
Price 円2,592.00
GF Value 円2,306.01
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is OAT Agrio Co Beneish M-Score?

OAT Agrio Co TSE:4979 +1.53% 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4979 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,306.01 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 246 Agriculture companies, OAT Agrio Co ranks better than 73.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4979' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.63   Max: 0.08
Current: -2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of OAT Agrio Co was 0.08. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.63.


OAT Agrio Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

OAT Agrio Co Beneish M-Score Chart

OAT Agrio Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -2.26 -2.15 -2.64 -2.69

OAT Agrio Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 0.00 0.00 -2.69 0.00

TSE:4979 vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


OAT Agrio Co Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:4979
71GF Score
OAT Agrio Co Ltd TSE:4979
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

OAT Agrio Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of OAT Agrio Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0159+0.528 * 1.0086+0.404 * 1.0065+0.892 * 1.0731+0.115 * 1.0252
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.068966-0.327 * 0.9274
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円8,704 Mil.
Revenue was 円31,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円15,366 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円22,203 Mil.
Total Assets was 円37,308 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円4,429 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,916 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円14,561 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,390 Mil.
Net Income was 円2,327 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円4,900 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円7,984 Mil.
Revenue was 円29,773 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円14,442 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円20,669 Mil.
Total Assets was 円34,663 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円4,139 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,856 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円13,533 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,447 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8704 / 31950) / (7984 / 29773)
=0.272426 / 0.268162
=1.0159

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14442 / 29773) / (15366 / 31950)
=0.48507 / 0.480939
=1.0086

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22203 + 4429) / 37308) / (1 - (20669 + 4139) / 34663)
=0.286158 / 0.284309
=1.0065

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=31950 / 29773
=1.0731

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1856 / (1856 + 4139)) / (1916 / (1916 + 4429))
=0.309591 / 0.30197
=1.0252

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 31950) / (0 / 29773)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1390 + 14561) / 37308) / ((2447 + 13533) / 34663)
=0.427549 / 0.46101
=0.9274

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2327 - 0 - 4900) / 37308
=-0.068966

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

OAT Agrio Co has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 mean?
OAT Agrio Co (TSE:4979) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on OAT Agrio Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, OAT Agrio Co ranks #65 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 26.4%.
Is OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
OAT Agrio Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Based on the distribution chart, OAT Agrio Co ranks #65 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, OAT Agrio Co has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does OAT Agrio Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, OAT Agrio Co ranks #65 out of 246 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts OAT Agrio Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on OAT Agrio Co and its competitors. OAT Agrio Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is OAT Agrio Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, OAT Agrio Co (TSE:4979) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,306.01, compared to a current price of 円2,592.00 — trading 12.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. OAT Agrio Co's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For OAT Agrio Co (TSE:4979), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is OAT Agrio Co (TSE:4979) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, OAT Agrio Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,592.00 is trading 12.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,306.01. GuruFocus considers OAT Agrio Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4979:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.69
  • GF Value™: 円2,306.01 vs. price of 円2,592.00 (12.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4979 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


OAT Agrio Co Business Description

Address 1-3-1 Kanda Ogawa-machi, 8th Floor, NBF Ogawa-machi Building, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0052
OAT Agrio Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in the research, manufacture, and sale of agricultural chemicals and fertilizers.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4979

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,592.00
Price
円2,306.01
GF Value