Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (TSE:5901) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


TSE:5901 Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd TSE:5901
66 GF Score
Price 円4,079.00
GF Value 円2,943.41
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings TSE:5901 -0.10% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:5901 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,943.41 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 370 Packaging & Containers companies, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings ranks better than 56.22% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:5901' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.7   Max: -2.09
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toyo Seikan Group Holdings was -2.09. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.70.


Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.09 -2.64 -2.86 -2.62

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.62

TSE:5901 vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:5901
66GF Score
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd TSE:5901
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toyo Seikan Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9793+0.528 * 0.9106+0.404 * 1.0145+0.892 * 1.0441+0.115 * 1.0323
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.02744-0.327 * 0.9714
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円227,189 Mil.
Revenue was 円963,213 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円140,513 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円617,797 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,240,692 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円353,864 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円54,339 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円315,630 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円118,076 Mil.
Net Income was 円54,983 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円89,028 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円222,187 Mil.
Revenue was 円922,516 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円122,539 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円594,327 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,202,930 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円351,490 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円55,997 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円282,472 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円150,420 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(227189 / 963213) / (222187 / 922516)
=0.235866 / 0.240849
=0.9793

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(122539 / 922516) / (140513 / 963213)
=0.132831 / 0.145879
=0.9106

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (617797 + 353864) / 1240692) / (1 - (594327 + 351490) / 1202930)
=0.216839 / 0.213739
=1.0145

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=963213 / 922516
=1.0441

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(55997 / (55997 + 351490)) / (54339 / (54339 + 353864))
=0.13742 / 0.133118
=1.0323

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 963213) / (0 / 922516)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((118076 + 315630) / 1240692) / ((150420 + 282472) / 1202930)
=0.349568 / 0.359865
=0.9714

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(54983 - 0 - 89028) / 1240692
=-0.02744

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (TSE:5901) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toyo Seikan Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings ranks #162 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 43.8%.
Is Toyo Seikan Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings ranks #162 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toyo Seikan Group Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings ranks #162 out of 370 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Toyo Seikan Group Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toyo Seikan Group Holdings and its competitors. Toyo Seikan Group Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toyo Seikan Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (TSE:5901) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,943.41, compared to a current price of 円4,079.00 — trading 38.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Toyo Seikan Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (TSE:5901), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (TSE:5901) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyo Seikan Group Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円4,079.00 is trading 38.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,943.41. GuruFocus considers Toyo Seikan Group Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:5901:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: 円2,943.41 vs. price of 円4,079.00 (38.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:5901 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges TQN:Germany
Address 2-18-1 Higashi-Gotanda, Osaki Forest Building, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 141-8627
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd is a Japan-based packaging container manufacturer. The company operates through six segments. The Engineering, Filling, and Logistics segment handles packaging equipment, contract filling, and cargo transport. The Functional Materials segment covers aluminum substrates, optical films, pigments, frit, and gelcoats. The Packaging Container segment produces metal, plastic, paper, and glass containers. The Real Estate segment focuses on leasing office buildings and commercial facilities. The Steel Plate segment manufactures and sells steel plates and related products. The Others segment includes automotive press dies, rigid combiners, and non-life insurance agency services. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Packaging container business segment.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:5901

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円4,079.00
Price
円2,943.41
GF Value