Oriental Chain Mfg Co (TSE:6380) Beneish M-Score: -2.80 (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


TSE:6380 Oriental Chain Mfg Co Ltd TSE:6380
45 GF Score
Price 円4,530.00
GF Value 円1,675.28
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Oriental Chain Mfg Co Beneish M-Score?

Oriental Chain Mfg Co TSE:6380 45 Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:6380 with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,675.28 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,916 Industrial Products companies, Oriental Chain Mfg Co ranks better than 79.01% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6380' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.9   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oriental Chain Mfg Co was -2.23. The lowest was -2.90. And the median was -2.66.


Oriental Chain Mfg Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Oriental Chain Mfg Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Oriental Chain Mfg Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.47 -2.69 -2.23 -2.80

Oriental Chain Mfg Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 0.00 -2.23 0.00 -2.80

TSE:6380 vs SNA, RBC, LECO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oriental Chain Mfg Co Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:6380
45GF Score
Oriental Chain Mfg Co Ltd TSE:6380
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Oriental Chain Mfg Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oriental Chain Mfg Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9197+0.528 * 1.0705+0.404 * 0.6922+0.892 * 1.0135+0.115 * 0.8452
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.04333-0.327 * 0.8446
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円627 Mil.
Revenue was 円4,111 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円743 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,633 Mil.
Total Assets was 円4,896 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,833 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円267 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,545 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円801 Mil.
Net Income was 円127 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円339 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円673 Mil.
Revenue was 円4,056 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円785 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,665 Mil.
Total Assets was 円5,130 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,816 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円219 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,904 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,007 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(626.904 / 4110.588) / (672.538 / 4055.683)
=0.15251 / 0.165826
=0.9197

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(784.602 / 4055.683) / (742.852 / 4110.588)
=0.193457 / 0.180717
=1.0705

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2633.403 + 1833.112) / 4895.597) / (1 - (2665.127 + 1815.565) / 5130.333)
=0.087647 / 0.126627
=0.6922

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4110.588 / 4055.683
=1.0135

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(218.947 / (218.947 + 1815.565)) / (267.452 / (267.452 + 1833.112))
=0.107616 / 0.127324
=0.8452

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 4110.588) / (0 / 4055.683)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((800.895 + 1545.488) / 4895.597) / ((1006.663 + 1904.478) / 5130.333)
=0.479284 / 0.567437
=0.8446

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(126.695 - 0 - 338.823) / 4895.597
=-0.04333

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oriental Chain Mfg Co has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 mean?
Oriental Chain Mfg Co (TSE:6380) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 as of Jul. 08, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Oriental Chain Mfg Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Oriental Chain Mfg Co ranks #612 out of 2916 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 21%.
Is Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Oriental Chain Mfg Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Based on the distribution chart, Oriental Chain Mfg Co ranks #612 out of 2916 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Oriental Chain Mfg Co has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Oriental Chain Mfg Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SNA and RBC?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Oriental Chain Mfg Co ranks #612 out of 2916 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Oriental Chain Mfg Co in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Oriental Chain Mfg Co and its competitors. Oriental Chain Mfg Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Oriental Chain Mfg Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oriental Chain Mfg Co (TSE:6380) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,675.28, compared to a current price of 円4,530.00 — trading 170.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Oriental Chain Mfg Co's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Oriental Chain Mfg Co (TSE:6380), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Oriental Chain Mfg Co (TSE:6380) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oriental Chain Mfg Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円4,530.00 is trading 170.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,675.28. GuruFocus considers Oriental Chain Mfg Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:6380:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.80
  • GF Value™: 円1,675.28 vs. price of 円4,530.00 (170.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:6380 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Oriental Chain Mfg Co Business Description

Address 485 Miyanagaichimachi, Ishikawa Prefecture, Hakusan, JPN, 924-0016
Oriental Chain Mfg Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and selling roller chains, conveyor chains, and sprockets for use in various equipment in Japan and internationally. The company's products include stainless and nickel plated, extra heavy duty, and top roller chains, as well as roller chains with outboard rollers; plastic and hollow pins, among others.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:6380

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円4,530.00
Price
円1,675.28
GF Value